Country Report

Equatorial Guinea risk profile

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11 March 2015

Equatorial Guinea risk profile

Report summary

President Teodoro Obiang has ruled Equatorial Guinea since 1979 by using oil wealth to enrich his inner circle and stifle opposition. Aged 72, Obiang is rumoured to be suffering from terminal cancer, therefore transition is a looming risk despite the appointment of a son as his successor. Overdependence on petroleum and a drop in production has strained the government, but corruption, weak rule of law, and limited geological upside have deterred many new investments.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Political outlook: Succession
    • Key Legislation
    • Reputational Risk
    • I. Access Risks
      • 1. Ease of entry
      • 2. Fiscal systems
      • 3. Contract sanctity
      • 4. State presence
      • 5. Regulation
      • 6. Corruption
      • 7. Geopolitics
    • II. Development Risks
      • 8. Labour activism
      • 9. Natural hazards
      • 10. Civil unrest
      • 11. Security
      • 12. Environment
      • 13. Supply chain
      • 14. Local content
    • III. Commercialisation Risks
      • 15. Infrastructure
      • 16. Fiscal stability
      • 17. Pricing
      • 18. Currency risk
      • 19. Domestic market obligation
      • 20. Gas market access
      • 21. OPEC affiliation
  • Risk matrix

Tables and charts

This report includes 9 images and tables including:

  • Executive summary: Table 1
  • Asset Risk Index (ARI) forecast – Equatorial Guinea
  • Political map
  • Political developments: Table 1
  • Oil supply-demand balance
  • Gas supply-demand balance
  • Key Ministries and Agencies
  • Equatorial Guinea Risk Matrix - 2015
  • Location map

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Equatorial Guinea risk profile

    PDF 572.10 KB

  • Document

    Research methodology country and asset risk.pdf

    PDF 251.22 KB

  • Document

    Equatorial Guinea risk profile

    ZIP 776.54 KB