Commodity market report
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4 Pages

Euro exchange rate outlook Q1 2016

Euro exchange rate outlook Q1 2016

Report summary

With the ECB extending QE to March 2017 and the US starting a gradual interest rate tightening cycle, fundamental support for the euro remains weak. What are the implications for the euro if Greece exits the Eurozone in 2018 as we expect?

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Euro exchange rate outlook Q1 2016 PDF - 358.87 KB 4 Pages, 1 Tables, 6 Figures
  • Exchange Rate Forecast Q1 2016.xls XLS - 116.00 KB


This Exchange Rate Outlook presents Wood Mackenzie's annual bilateral exchange rate forecast to 2035.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the outlook for commodity currencies.

We forecast bilateral exchange rates by assessing fundamental drivers, including interest rate differentials, relative economic growth rates, productivity of the tradable goods sector, and the current account balance.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary

In this report there are 7 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Exchange rate forecasts
    • USD per EUR
    • EUR real trade weighted index
    • Eurozone quarterly current account balance
    • Inflation
    • Official interest rates
    • Government bond yields (10 year)
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