Commodity market report
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4 Pages

Germany long-term economic outlook Q2 2014


Germany long-term economic outlook Q2 2014

Report summary

Assessing the structural drivers of long-term economic growth – labour, capital and productivity – suggests Germany's growth drivers will start to lose momentum as we look out to 2035. Productivity will be the key driver of GDP growth over the forecast period as a declining working-age population exerts a drags, and capital’s contribution – primarily through investment – remains relatively stable. Over the period 2016-2035 average annual growth is forecast at just 1.0% per annum. 

What's included?

This report includes 1 file(s)

  • Germany long-term economic outlook Q2 2014 PDF - 282.31 KB 4 Pages, 1 Tables, 4 Figures

Description

This Economic Outlook presents our macroeconomic outlook to 2035 at the country level.

Specifically we assess the structure of the economy and present the GDP and industrial production outlook.

The long-term outlook is underpinned by a set of GDP models which take account of long-term structural drivers of GDP including demographics, investment and productivity growth.

Finally, we highlight the key risks facing our outlook, both upside and downside.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary
  • Market structure
  • Economic outlook
  • Risks and uncertainties

In this report there are 5 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Economic indicators
  • Market structure
    • GDP by sector (% of GDP)
    • GDP by expenditure (Billion €, 2005 prices)
  • Economic outlook
    • Real GDP growth by component
    • Population by age cohort (million)
  • Risks and uncertainties
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