Global Oil, Refining & Chemicals: what to look for in 2015

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Report summary

In January 2015, Wood Mackenzie's senior thought leadership team highlights the key themes and milestones for the global coal, power and gas sectors in the year ahead.

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    Global Oil, Refining & Chemicals: what to look for in 2015

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  • (1) Low oil prices could stimulate demand, but it is unlikely to change materially; the market itself will have to find balance in 2015.
  • (2) US tight oil production growth will be robust into the second quarter, but then decline.
  • (3) Refiners are likely to struggle later in 2015, as stock surplus shifts from crude to oil products.
  • (4) Integration will provide an effective hedge in early 2015, but European players could seize the moment to downsize Downstream.
  • (5) US Crude export policy will follow evolution rather than revolution.
  • (6) A decision on the Keystone XL pipeline could remain in a holding pattern for 2015.
  • (7) While imports of ethylene and derivatives remain a threat, European domestic producers will remain resilient.
  • (8) Low crude oil prices will threaten the North American gas-based chemical renaissance.
  • (9) The bright spot for 2015 in the US NGLs and Chemicals market will be derivatives.

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