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Global trends: 6 things to look for in 2017

Global trends: 6 things to look for in 2017

Report summary

Attention shifts to the priorities of the Trump administration. US energy is a potential winner, but much remains unknown; a fluid uncertainty may be the tenor of Trump's time in office. The Paris Agreement looks under threat, but could China seek to adopt the nebulous role of 'climate leadership?' If so, will the rest of the world follow? Renewables and electric vehicles are in the ascendant, but could political changes in the United States revitalise demand in the world's largest oil market? Energy companies should see a muted recovery. We expect the US L48 to drive an uptick in global investment, signalling the end of the downturn. Meanwhile, OPEC has painted itself into a corner. The group may still control oil prices to some degree, but whatever OPEC does in the future, the benefits of that control will accrue to parties elsewhere. But populism is the most potent risk, and sudden shocks can and should be expected over the next 12 months. 2017 could be a delicate year.

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This Macroeconomics and Global Trends Insight report presents our research on this key topic, and draws out the implications for economies and commodity markets.

This report delivers a clear understanding of our unique global economic outlook and identify risks and uncertainties to watch out for.

Wood Mackenzie's global trends and macroeconomic analysis underpins all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the pace of global development and the risks associated with it.

  • The next 12 months may resonate for decades
    • 1. The world adjusts to President Trump
    • 2. On carbon, which way will the world turn?
    • 3. Demand disruption is the big question
    • 4. Corporate strategies – a muted recovery
    • 5. The cartel formerly known as OPEC?
    • 6. Populism is the most potent risk for 2017
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