Commodity market report
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3 Pages

Henan long-term economic outlook Q3 2014

Henan long-term economic outlook Q3 2014

Report summary

China's 5th largest provincial economy, Henan's economic growth has been supported by the investment-led model in the past decade. However, its real GDP per capita is still below the national average, implying further room to catch up with its neighbouring coastal provinces. Going forward, industry upgrading and more FDI inflows will help Henan to catch up with the coastal region and support its real GDP to grow at a CAGR of 6.6% between 2013 and 2035. 

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Henan long-term economic outlook Q3 2014 PDF - 275.85 KB 3 Pages, 1 Tables, 4 Figures
  • China Provincial GDP Population Urbanisation Nov 2014.xls XLS - 659.00 KB


This Economic Outlook presents our macroeconomic outlook to 2035 at the country level.

Specifically we assess the structure of the economy and present the GDP and industrial production outlook.

The long-term outlook is underpinned by a set of GDP models which take account of long-term structural drivers of GDP including demographics, investment and productivity growth.

Finally, we highlight the key risks facing our outlook, both upside and downside.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary
  • Market structure
  • Economic outlook

In this report there are 5 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Economic Indicators
  • Market structure
    • GDP by sector (% of GDP), 2013
    • Population - Rural/ Urban Split (millions)
  • Economic outlook
    • Real GDP Growth and Level Forecast
    • Urbanisation and GDP per capita (RMB 2005 prices)
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