Commodity market report
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4 Pages

Italy long-term economic outlook Q1 2014


Italy long-term economic outlook Q1 2014

Report summary

Wood Mackenzie forecasts economic growth to average 0.8% per annum over 2020-2035. Potential growth is significantly weighed down by demographic factors. Working-age population is set to shrink by 4.8 million to 35 million by 2035 since its peak in 2010. Italy requires structural reforms to labour and product markets in order to maximise the potential of the working-age population, develop products further up the value chain, and boost productivity growth.

What's included?

This report includes 1 file(s)

  • Italy long-term economic outlook Q1 2014 PDF - 297.55 KB 4 Pages, 1 Tables, 4 Figures

Description

This Economic Outlook presents our macroeconomic outlook to 2035 at the country level.

Specifically we assess the structure of the economy and present the GDP and industrial production outlook.

The long-term outlook is underpinned by a set of GDP models which take account of long-term structural drivers of GDP including demographics, investment and productivity growth.

Finally, we highlight the key risks facing our outlook, both upside and downside.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary
  • Market structure
  • Economic outlook
  • Risks and uncertainties

In this report there are 5 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Executive summary: Table 1
  • Market structure
    • GDP by Sector (% of GDP)
    • GDP by Expenditure (Billion €, 2005 prices)
  • Economic outlook
    • Real GDP (annual growth)
    • Population by Age Cohort (Million)
  • Risks and uncertainties
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