Commodity market report
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4 Pages

Japan long-term economic outlook Q1 2014

Japan long-term economic outlook Q1 2014

Report summary

With a shrinking workforce and limited scope for investment, Japan has to depend on productivity gains to drive growth over the long term. The success of Abenomics and impact of economic reforms remain to be seen. Overall, we forecast GDP growth to decline to 0.5% by 2035.

What's included?

This report includes 1 file(s)

  • Japan long-term economic outlook Q1 2014 PDF - 286.09 KB 4 Pages, 1 Tables, 4 Figures


This Economic Outlook presents our macroeconomic outlook to 2035 at the country level.

Specifically we assess the structure of the economy and present the GDP and industrial production outlook.

The long-term outlook is underpinned by a set of GDP models which take account of long-term structural drivers of GDP including demographics, investment and productivity growth.

Finally, we highlight the key risks facing our outlook, both upside and downside.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary
  • Market structure
  • Economic outlook
  • Risks and uncertainties

In this report there are 5 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Economic Indicators
  • Market structure
    • GDP by sector (% of GDP)
    • GDP by expenditure (constant JPY tn, 2005)
  • Economic outlook
    • Real GDP Growth by component
    • Population by age cohort (million)
  • Risks and uncertainties
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