Commodity market report
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3 Pages

New Zealand exchange rate outlook Q1 2015

New Zealand exchange rate outlook Q1 2015

Report summary

Following years of appreciation against the US dollar, the New Zealand dollar weakened through late 2014. Lower commodity prices and the end of US quantitative easing were the principal drivers. With relatively high domestic interest rates and strong growth in agricultural exports, fundamental support for the NZD is strong. Will it be it be enough to prevent further depreciation?

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • New Zealand exchange rate outlook Q1 2015 PDF - 340.31 KB 3 Pages, 1 Tables, 4 Figures
  • Exchange Rate Forecast Q1 2015.xls XLS - 116.00 KB


This Exchange Rate Outlook presents Wood Mackenzie's annual bilateral exchange rate forecast to 2035.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the outlook for commodity currencies.

We forecast bilateral exchange rates by assessing fundamental drivers, including interest rate differentials, relative economic growth rates, productivity of the tradable goods sector, and the current account balance.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary

In this report there are 5 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Exchange rate forecasts
    • Nominal Exchange Rate:
    • Real Trade Weighted Exchange Rate Index
    • Interest Rates
    • Terms of Trade
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