Commodity market report
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3 Pages

New Zealand exchange rate outlook Q3 2016

New Zealand exchange rate outlook Q3 2016

Report summary

Following years of appreciation against the US dollar, the New Zealand dollar weakened significantly through late 2014 and 2015. Lower commodity prices, the end of US quantitative easing, and a dovish monetary stance domestically were the principal drivers. Are there more headwinds for the NZD ahead?

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • New Zealand exchange rate outlook Q3 2016 PDF - 328.66 KB 3 Pages, 2 Tables, 2 Figures
  • Exchange Rate Forecast Q3 2016.xls XLS - 132.00 KB


This Exchange Rate Outlook presents Wood Mackenzie's annual bilateral exchange rate forecast to 2035.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the outlook for commodity currencies.

We forecast bilateral exchange rates by assessing fundamental drivers, including interest rate differentials, relative economic growth rates, productivity of the tradable goods sector, and the current account balance.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary

In this report there are 4 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Exchange rate forecasts
    • Nominal Exchange Rate:
    • Real Trade Weighted Exchange Rate Index
    • Executive summary: Table 2
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