Oil Price: How Low Can It Go?

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Report summary

Oil price volatility returned with a vengeance in October. A combination of factors triggered a decline in oil prices of about $15 per barrel to $85 per barrel for Brent. If the market nerves are warranted and oil demand growth slumps significantly in 2015 oil prices could fall further. In this insight we explore the price decline and how low prices could go through US tight oil and probable development break even price analysis.

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    Oil Price: How Low Can It Go?

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Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 5 images and tables including:


  • Chart 1 - Change in oil supply/demand forecast for 2014
  • Chart 2 - US tight oil growth keeping pace with rise in losses
  • Chart 3 - Non-OPEC oil/NGL supply growth by key country
  • Chart 5 - Conventional new development volumes by breakeven ($Brent, not $WTI as in the US tight oil illustration)
  • Oil Price: How Low Can It Go?: Image 4

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