Insight

Q3 2014 Macroeconomics Update: Three possible triggers of the next recession

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Report summary

Global growth prospects are forecast to gradually improve over the next few years but risks mainly to the downside are significant. Five of the G8 economies (including the US and Japan) have endured at least one quarter of GDP contraction this year highlighting the fragility of global growth. Is this just a temporary blip or has volatile growth become standard in an increasingly uncertain world? In this Insight we identify and assess the implications of three key risks to global growth.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    GDP Forecast Jul 2014.xls

    XLS 1.54 MB

  • Document

    IP Forecast Jul 2014.xls

    XLS 1.38 MB

  • Document

    Latest Population Forecast (with charts).xls

    XLS 3.55 MB

  • Document

    Q3 2014 Macroeconomics Update: Three possible triggers of the next recession

    PDF 419.56 KB

  • Document

    Q3 2014 Macroeconomics Update: Three possible triggers of the next recession

    ZIP 3.39 MB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 9 images and tables including:

Images

  • Growth outlook of key economies
  • US Real GDP with recession bands
  • Chinese property prices continue to fall
  • 125 million more people to move to cities by 2020
  • China's long-term GDP growth forecast
  • Rise of consumption is a key risk
  • Developed world interest rates to rise
  • Gross government debt per working age capita
  • Q3 2014 Macroeconomics Update: Three possible triggers of the next recession: Image 9

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