Commodity market report
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5 Pages

Russia long-term economic outlook Q2 2014

Russia long-term economic outlook Q2 2014

Report summary

Russia's economy is unlikely to return to a period of rapid growth like that of the previous decade. Creaking infrastructure and chronic underinvestment are constraining productive capacity, while an ageing population will stretch an underfunded pension system. Policy reforms present potential upside to the view, but appear unlikely in the current political climate.

What's included?

This report includes 4 file(s)

  • Russia long-term economic outlook Q2 2014 PDF - 302.51 KB 5 Pages, 1 Tables, 6 Figures
  • Latest Population Forecast.xls XLS - 2.92 MB
  • GDP Forecast Apr 2014.xls XLS - 1.23 MB
  • IP Forecast Apr 2014.xls XLS - 1.24 MB


This Economic Outlook presents our macroeconomic outlook to 2035 at the country level.

Specifically we assess the structure of the economy and present the GDP and industrial production outlook.

The long-term outlook is underpinned by a set of GDP models which take account of long-term structural drivers of GDP including demographics, investment and productivity growth.

Finally, we highlight the key risks facing our outlook, both upside and downside.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary
  • Market structure
  • Economic outlook
    • Real GDP growth by input
  • Risks and uncertainties
    • Upside
    • Downside

In this report there are 7 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Economic Indicators
  • Market structure
    • GDP by sector (% of GDP)
    • GDP by expenditure (trillion 2008 Russian roubles)
    • Russian exports dominated by hydrocarbons
  • Economic outlook
    • Economic outlook: Image 1
    • GDP per capita (2005 US$)
    • Population by age cohort (millions)
  • Risks and uncertainties
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