Commodity market report
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5 Pages

Russian Federation exchange rate outlook Q1 2016

Russian Federation exchange rate outlook Q1 2016

Report summary

The Russian rouble has been extremely volatile over the past year, rapidly moving up and down as the oil price changes direction. The outlook for 2016 and beyond will reflect the oil price – uncertainty is high.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Russian Federation exchange rate outlook Q1 2016 PDF - 388.65 KB 5 Pages, 1 Tables, 6 Figures
  • Exchange Rate Forecast Q1 2016.xls XLS - 116.00 KB


This Exchange Rate Outlook presents Wood Mackenzie's annual bilateral exchange rate forecast to 2035.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the outlook for commodity currencies.

We forecast bilateral exchange rates by assessing fundamental drivers, including interest rate differentials, relative economic growth rates, productivity of the tradable goods sector, and the current account balance.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary

In this report there are 7 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Rouble prices heavily influenced by oil
    • Roubles per US dollar - base case and low case
    • Exchange rate forecasts
    • Roubles per US dollar (nominal)
    • Real trade-weighted exchange rate index
    • Russia inflation
    • Russia interest rates
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