Commodity market report
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4 Pages

Russian Federation exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

Russian Federation exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

Report summary

The Russian rouble collapsed in the second half of 2014, losing half of its value against the US dollar. This year, the currency has been volatile in the extreme, with swings broadly reflecting changes in the oil price. We expect to see a gradual recovery in the rouble over the coming years, but a return to the highs of 2014 is not likely.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Russian Federation exchange rate outlook Q3 2015 PDF - 364.56 KB 4 Pages, 1 Tables, 5 Figures
  • Exchange Rate Forecast Q3 2015 (portal).xls XLS - 116.00 KB


This Exchange Rate Outlook presents Wood Mackenzie's annual bilateral exchange rate forecast to 2035.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the outlook for commodity currencies.

We forecast bilateral exchange rates by assessing fundamental drivers, including interest rate differentials, relative economic growth rates, productivity of the tradable goods sector, and the current account balance.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary

In this report there are 6 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Rouble closely tied to oil price
    • Exchange rate forecasts
    • Executive summary: Image 2
    • Rouble trade-weighted real exchange rate index
    • Russia key interest rates
    • Russian inflation
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