Commodity market report
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3 Pages

Shanghai long-term economic outlook Q3 2014


Shanghai long-term economic outlook Q3 2014

Report summary

The richest city in China on a per capita basis, Shanghai is a provincial level municipality. As China's financial and business centre, Shanghai will continue to benefit from the pilot Free Trade Zone programme launched in 2013. However being a more developed economy, its growth potential is expected to be modest compared with other provinces. Overall, we forecast its economy to grow at a CAGR of 5.5% over the forecast period.

 


What's included?

This report includes 1 file(s)

  • Shanghai long-term economic outlook Q3 2014 PDF - 274.42 KB 3 Pages, 1 Tables, 4 Figures

Description

This Economic Outlook presents our macroeconomic outlook to 2035 at the country level.

Specifically we assess the structure of the economy and present the GDP and industrial production outlook.

The long-term outlook is underpinned by a set of GDP models which take account of long-term structural drivers of GDP including demographics, investment and productivity growth.

Finally, we highlight the key risks facing our outlook, both upside and downside.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary
  • Market structure
  • Economic outlook

In this report there are 5 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Economic Indicators
  • Market structure
    • GDP by sector (% of GDP), 2013
    • Population - Rural/ Urban Split (millions)
  • Economic outlook
    • Real GDP Growth and Level Forecast
    • Urbanisation and GDP per Capita (RMB 2005 prices)
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