Country Report

Tanzania risk profile

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11 March 2015

Tanzania risk profile

Report summary

After massive gas discoveries since 2010, Tanzania has huge future potential for LNG exports. But the political environment has not been amenable, with widespread corruption, high fiscal terms and repeatedly delayed legislative reviews. As a result, progress over an LNG facility has stalled. This is unlikely to shift in 2015, due to elections in October. There is a growing civil unrest movement, which is increasingly likely to target infrastructure associated with the gas industry post-election.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Constitutional debate
    • Key Legislation
    • Reputational Risk
    • I. Access Risks
      • 1. Ease of entry
      • 2. Fiscal system
      • 3. Contract sanctity
      • 4. State presence
      • 5. Regulation
      • 6. Corruption
      • 7. Geopolitics
    • II. Development Risks
      • 8. Labour activism
      • 9. Natural hazards
      • 10. Civil unrest
      • 11. Security
      • 12. Environment
      • 13. Supply chain
      • 14. Local content
    • III. Commercialisation Risks
      • 15. Infrastructure
      • 16. Fiscal stability
      • 17. Pricing
      • 18. Currency risk
      • 19. Domestic market obligation
      • 20. Gas market access
      • 21. OPEC affiliation
  • Risk matrix
    • Southern Tanzania gas province
      • Access
      • Development
      • Commercialisation
        • Location map

Tables and charts

This report includes 11 images and tables including:

  • Executive summary: Table 1
  • Asset Risk Index (ARI) forecast – Tanzania
  • Political map
  • Political facts
  • Oil supply-demand balance
  • Gas supply-demand balance
  • Key Ministries and Agencies
  • Tanzania Risk Matrix - 2015
  • Location map
  • Basin watch: Image 1
  • Basin watch: Image 2

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Tanzania risk profile

    PDF 1.38 MB

  • Document

    Research methodology country and asset risk.pdf

    PDF 251.22 KB

  • Document

    Tanzania risk profile

    ZIP 1.47 MB