Commodity market report
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4 Pages

Ukraine exchange rate outlook Q1 2015

Ukraine exchange rate outlook Q1 2015

Report summary

Amid mounting pressure on the economy, the National Bank of Ukraine abandoned its peg to the US dollar in January 2014. Under pressure from capital outflows and dwindling foreign exchange reserves, the Ukrainian hryvnia has depreciated significantly against the US dollar since abandoning the official peg. Risks to the outlook are high, and predominately to the downside, for the hryvnia. 

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Ukraine exchange rate outlook Q1 2015 PDF - 324.16 KB 4 Pages, 1 Tables, 6 Figures
  • Exchange Rate Forecast Q1 2015.xls XLS - 116.00 KB


This Exchange Rate Outlook presents Wood Mackenzie's annual bilateral exchange rate forecast to 2035.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the outlook for commodity currencies.

We forecast bilateral exchange rates by assessing fundamental drivers, including interest rate differentials, relative economic growth rates, productivity of the tradable goods sector, and the current account balance.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary

In this report there are 7 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Exchange rate forecasts
    • UAH per USD: Nominal Exchange Rate
    • UAH Real Trade Weighted Exchange Rate Index
    • Ukraine Quarterly Current Account
    • Inflation
    • Official Policy Interest Rates
    • Official Currency Reserves
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