Commodity market report
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4 Pages

Ukraine exchange rate outlook Q3 2016

Ukraine exchange rate outlook Q3 2016

Report summary

As the Ukrainian economy stabilises the rapid slide in the hryvnia has abated. Having abandoned the peg to the US dollar, we expect mild depreciation in the short term. However, risks to the outlook are high, and predominately to the downside, for the hryvnia. 

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Ukraine exchange rate outlook Q3 2016 PDF - 354.28 KB 4 Pages, 1 Tables, 6 Figures
  • Exchange Rate Forecast Q3 2016.xls XLS - 132.00 KB


This Exchange Rate Outlook presents Wood Mackenzie's annual bilateral exchange rate forecast to 2035.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the outlook for commodity currencies.

We forecast bilateral exchange rates by assessing fundamental drivers, including interest rate differentials, relative economic growth rates, productivity of the tradable goods sector, and the current account balance.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary

In this report there are 7 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Exchange rate forecasts
    • UAH per USD: Nominal Exchange Rate
    • UAH Real Trade Weighted Exchange Rate Index
    • Ukraine Quarterly Current Account
    • Inflation
    • Official Policy Interest Rates
    • Official Currency Reserves
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