Commodity market report

United Kingdom exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

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Report summary

Strong economic growth and reduced political uncertainty have driven a 5% appreciation of the pound against the dollar since mid-April. With monetary policy closely aligned in the UK and US — imminent interest rate tightening in both economies is expected — we forecast the pound to remain around current levels against dollar 1.56 in 2016.The 'in-out' referendum on EU membership, expected no later than 2017, is a key uncertainty and downside risk for the pound.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Exchange Rate Forecast Q3 2015 (portal).xls

    XLS 116.00 KB

  • Document

    United Kingdom exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

    PDF 354.48 KB

  • Document

    United Kingdom exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

    ZIP 401.46 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 194.78 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary

Tables and charts

This report includes 7 images and tables including:

Images

  • USD per GBP: Nominal Exchange Rate
  • GBP Real Trade Weighted Exchange Rate Index
  • UK Quarterly Current Account Balance
  • Inflation
  • Official Policy Interest Rates
  • 10 Year Government Bond Yields

Tables

  • Exchange rate forecasts

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