Commodity market report

United Kingdom exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

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Report summary

Strong economic growth and reduced political uncertainty have driven a 5% appreciation of the pound against the dollar since mid April. With monetary policy closely aligned in the UK and US imminent interest rate tightening in both economies is expected we forecast the pound to remain around current levels against dollar 1.56 in 2016.The 'in out' referendum on EU membership expected no later than 2017 is a key uncertainty and downside risk for the pound.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Exchange Rate Forecast Q3 2015 (portal).xls

    XLS 116.00 KB

  • Document

    United Kingdom exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

    PDF 354.48 KB

  • Document

    United Kingdom exchange rate outlook Q3 2015

    ZIP 401.46 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 194.78 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary

Tables and charts

This report includes 7 images and tables including:

Images

  • USD per GBP: Nominal Exchange Rate
  • GBP Real Trade Weighted Exchange Rate Index
  • UK Quarterly Current Account Balance
  • Inflation
  • Official Policy Interest Rates
  • 10 Year Government Bond Yields

Tables

  • Exchange rate forecasts

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