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Global aluminium long-term outlook Q3 2014

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Report summary

We expect global primary aluminium consumption growth to average 5.2% over the 2013 2017 period driven by firm demandgrowth in emerging markets and by the increasing penetration of aluminium in end use sectors such as automotive transportation and power

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Aluminium Tables LTO Q3 2014.pdf

    PDF 3.72 MB

  • Document

    Demand main changes aluminium LTO Q3 2014.xls

    XLS 209.00 KB

  • Document

    Demand analysis aluminium LTO Q3 2014.xls

    XLS 878.50 KB

  • Document

    Supply main changes aluminium LTO Q3 2014.xls

    XLS 337.50 KB

  • Document

    Production rankings aluminium LTO Q3 2014.xls

    XLS 474.00 KB

  • Document

    Smelter analysis aluminium LTO Q3 2014.xls

    XLS 809.50 KB

  • Document

    Refinery analysis aluminium LTO Q3 2014.xls

    XLS 571.50 KB

  • Document

    Market balance and prices aluminium LTO Q3 2014.xls

    XLS 277.50 KB

  • Document

    Global aluminium long-term outlook Q3 2014

    PDF 861.71 KB

  • Document

    Global aluminium long-term outlook Q3 2014

    ZIP 2.83 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 74.46 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 241.75 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 298.33 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 301.71 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Supply-demand balances

Tables and charts

This report includes 60 images and tables including:

Images

  • Global refinery production and capacity 2013-20
  • Chinese bauxite imports slowly moving higher
  • Impact of aluminium premiums on smelters alumina
  • Spot alumina prices Jan 2008-Sept 2014, (fob $/t)
  • Chinese Total aluminium consumption and IP forecast
  • Rural and urban housing completions (M sq m)
  • Non-residential completions (M sq m)
  • Total aluminium demand from the automotive sector
  • Total Chinese aluminium consumption and consumption per capita
  • Growth in European heat treated capacity and production
  • North American demand for aluminium by sector
  • North American aluminium demand by product type
  • Required Brazilian primary aluminium imports
  • Actual and required refinery capacity utilisation, 2005-2020
  • Global alumina capacity and demand, 2005-2035
  • Contributions to 24Mt/a alumina supply growth before adjustments, 2013-2017
  • Chinese bauxite imports slowly moving higher
  • Global and ROW smelter capacity utilisation, 2006-2020
  • Contributions to 12.1Mt/a aluminium supply growth, 2013-2017

Tables

  • Global primary aluminium consumption (Mt)
  • Demand: Table 2
  • Main changes to primary aluminium consumption forecast Q2 2014 vs Q3 2014 (kt)
  • Revisions to Q2 2014 forecast, (kt)
  • Global alumina production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Relatively modest smelter restarts could boost SGA demand and prices
  • Rest of World alumina balances, China imports and Spot prices, 2013-2016, (kt)
  • Long-term alumina prices
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 4
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 5
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 6
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 7
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 8
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 9
  • Asia primary aluminium consumption kt
  • Chinese primary aluminium consumption (Mt and year-on-year % growth)
  • Middle Eastern primary aluminium consumption (kt)
  • Demand: Table 7
  • North America primary aluminium consumption (kt)
  • Latin America primary aluminium consumption (kt)
  • Africa alumina production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • North America alumina production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Latin America alumina production 2013-2016, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Middle East alumina production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Asia alumina production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Chinese alumina production increases, 2013-2017 (kt/a)
  • Europe alumina production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Russia and the Caspian alumina production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Oceania alumina production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Projected Non-China aluminium production increases, 2013-2018, (kt)
  • Smelter production changes since Q2 2014 and forecasts
  • Global aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Africa aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • North America aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Latin America aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Middle East aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Chinese capacity closures in 2013 (kt/a)
  • Chinese aluminium production increases, 2012-2016 (kt/a)
  • Supply: Table 21
  • Europe aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Russia and the Caspian aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)

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