Commodity market report

Global aluminium long-term outlook Q4 2014

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Report summary

We expect global primary aluminium consumption growth to average 5.4% over the 2013-2017 period, driven by firm demandgrowth in emerging markets and by the increasing penetration of aluminium in end-use sectors such as automotive,transportation and power

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Aluminium Tables Q4 2014.pdf

    PDF 1004.93 KB

  • Document

    Slide pack aluminium LTO Q4 2014.pdf

    PDF 1.21 MB

  • Document

    Demand main changes aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 218.00 KB

  • Document

    Demand analysis aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 856.00 KB

  • Document

    Supply main changes aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 359.50 KB

  • Document

    Production rankings aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 474.50 KB

  • Document

    Smelter analysis aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 788.00 KB

  • Document

    Refinery analysis aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 567.50 KB

  • Document

    Market balance and prices aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 265.00 KB

  • Document

    Global aluminium long-term outlook Q4 2014

    PDF 888.53 KB

  • Document

    Global aluminium long-term outlook Q4 2014

    ZIP 3.79 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 76.61 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 270.01 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 297.27 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 301.65 KB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 61 images and tables including:

Images

  • Chinese bauxite imports slowly moving higher
  • Affordable alumina cost relative to the "all-in" aluminium price
  • Spot alumina prices Jan 2008-Sept 2014, (fob $/t)
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Rural and urban housing completions (M sq m)
  • Demand: Image 4
  • Total Chinese aluminium consumption and consumption per capita
  • Demand: Image 6
  • Demand: Image 7
  • North American aluminium demand by industry
  • North America automotive sheet and auto production
  • Construction and car production in Brazil
  • Brazil sectoral demand breakdown
  • Actual and required refinery capacity utilisation, 2005-2020
  • Global alumina capacity and demand, 2005-2035
  • Contributions to 24Mt/a alumina supply growth before adjustments, 2013-2017
  • Supply: Image 4
  • Global and ROW smelter capacity utilisation, 2006-2020
  • Contributions to 12Mt/a aluminium supply growth, 2013-2017

Tables

  • Global primary aluminium consumption (Mt)
  • Demand: Table 2
  • Demand: Table 3
  • Supply: Table 1
  • ROW smelters supporting SGA demand growth
  • Rest of World alumina balances, China imports and Spot prices, 2013-2016, (kt)
  • Long-term alumina prices
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 4
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 5
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 6
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 7
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 8
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 9
  • Asia primary aluminium consumption kt
  • Chinese primary aluminium consumption (Mt and year-on-year % growth)
  • Middle Eastern primary aluminium consumption (kt)
  • Demand: Table 7
  • North America primary aluminium consumption (kt)
  • Latin America primary aluminium consumption (kt)
  • Supply: Table 2
  • Supply: Table 3
  • Supply: Table 4
  • Supply: Table 5
  • Supply: Table 6
  • Chinese alumina production increases, 2013-2017 (kt/a)
  • Asia alumina production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Europe alumina production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Supply: Table 10
  • Supply: Table 11
  • Projected Non-China aluminium production increases, 2013-2018, (kt)
  • Supply: Table 13
  • Supply: Table 14
  • Africa aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • North America aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Supply: Table 17
  • Middle East aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Supply: Table 19
  • Supply: Table 20
  • Supply: Table 21
  • Russia and the Caspian aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Oceania aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)

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