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Global aluminium long-term outlook Q4 2014

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Report summary

We expect global primary aluminium consumption growth to average 5.4% over the 2013 2017 period driven by firm demandgrowth in emerging markets and by the increasing penetration of aluminium in end use sectors such as automotive transportation and power

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Aluminium Tables Q4 2014.pdf

    PDF 1004.93 KB

  • Document

    Slide pack aluminium LTO Q4 2014.pdf

    PDF 1.21 MB

  • Document

    Demand main changes aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 218.00 KB

  • Document

    Demand analysis aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 856.00 KB

  • Document

    Supply main changes aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 359.50 KB

  • Document

    Production rankings aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 474.50 KB

  • Document

    Smelter analysis aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 788.00 KB

  • Document

    Refinery analysis aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 567.50 KB

  • Document

    Market balance and prices aluminium LTO Q4 2014.xls

    XLS 265.00 KB

  • Document

    Global aluminium long-term outlook Q4 2014

    PDF 888.53 KB

  • Document

    Global aluminium long-term outlook Q4 2014

    ZIP 3.79 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 76.61 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 270.01 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 297.27 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 301.65 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Supply-demand balances

Tables and charts

This report includes 61 images and tables including:

Images

  • Chinese bauxite imports slowly moving higher
  • Affordable alumina cost relative to the "all-in" aluminium price
  • Spot alumina prices Jan 2008-Sept 2014, (fob $/t)
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Rural and urban housing completions (M sq m)
  • Demand: Image 4
  • Total Chinese aluminium consumption and consumption per capita
  • Demand: Image 6
  • Demand: Image 7
  • North American aluminium demand by industry
  • North America automotive sheet and auto production
  • Construction and car production in Brazil
  • Brazil sectoral demand breakdown
  • Actual and required refinery capacity utilisation, 2005-2020
  • Global alumina capacity and demand, 2005-2035
  • Contributions to 24Mt/a alumina supply growth before adjustments, 2013-2017
  • Supply: Image 4
  • Global and ROW smelter capacity utilisation, 2006-2020
  • Contributions to 12Mt/a aluminium supply growth, 2013-2017

Tables

  • Global primary aluminium consumption (Mt)
  • Demand: Table 2
  • Demand: Table 3
  • Supply: Table 1
  • ROW smelters supporting SGA demand growth
  • Rest of World alumina balances, China imports and Spot prices, 2013-2016, (kt)
  • Long-term alumina prices
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 4
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 5
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 6
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 7
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 8
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 9
  • Asia primary aluminium consumption kt
  • Chinese primary aluminium consumption (Mt and year-on-year % growth)
  • Middle Eastern primary aluminium consumption (kt)
  • Demand: Table 7
  • North America primary aluminium consumption (kt)
  • Latin America primary aluminium consumption (kt)
  • Supply: Table 2
  • Supply: Table 3
  • Supply: Table 4
  • Supply: Table 5
  • Supply: Table 6
  • Chinese alumina production increases, 2013-2017 (kt/a)
  • Asia alumina production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Europe alumina production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Supply: Table 10
  • Supply: Table 11
  • Projected Non-China aluminium production increases, 2013-2018, (kt)
  • Supply: Table 13
  • Supply: Table 14
  • Africa aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • North America aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Supply: Table 17
  • Middle East aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Supply: Table 19
  • Supply: Table 20
  • Supply: Table 21
  • Russia and the Caspian aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)
  • Oceania aluminium production 2013-2017, 2020, 2025 and 2035 (kt)

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