The aluminium market service short term outlook (STO) is published monthly and provides a forecast of aluminium supply and demand fundamentals over the next two-years. For much of June LME prices were very much in consolidation mode as price dips triggered consumer buying only to be met with producer selling on any rebound. Tighter spreads mid-month finally settled prices above the $1.600/t mark. The big shock to markets came towards month-end as the UK voted unexpectedly to leave the EU. Market sentiment remains fragile, driven by political events post-Brexit and uncertainty surrounding the full economic impact of the decision moving forward. At a fundamental level our latest assessment shows a rising global metal surplus over the next few years.
This report includes 2 file(s)
Global aluminium short-term outlook June 2016 PDF - 603.66 KB 31 Pages, 12 Tables, 21 Figures
Data tables aluminium STO June 2016.xls XLS - 504.00 KB
As global demand weakens and commodity prices fall, we're seeing a challenging environment in the metals and mining industry. Mining companies are increasingly coming under pressure to reduce operating costs, causing many to shift their strategic planning, delay new investments and look to long-term future growth.
This Aluminium Short Term Outlook report provides a detailed breakdown of global supply and demand balances in this market, as well as price forecasts.
Mining companies, investment banks and investors can use this report to understand the future direction of the ferrous and base metals market. It will also help you assess the impact of key industry issues and events on market balances and pricing.
From acquisitions to investments, Wood Mackenzie helps you plan, forecast and benchmark in the metals markets. Our proprietary database and analyst expertise combines robust production, consumption and pricing data with detailed analysis to identify market opportunities.
We give you a holistic view of the ferrous and base metals markets so you have the confidence to make strategic decisions.
Wood Mackenzie's clients include every major player in the global energy, metals and mining industries. We are recognised as a leading authority by international and national energy, metals and mining companies, leading financial institutions, governments and government agencies. We work with a range of diverse teams within our clients, from strategy and policy makers, business developers and market analysts, through to corporate finance, risk teams and investors.
Having Wood Mac analysis is table-stakes. Others are nice to have.
Analyst Metal Mining Producer
Wood Mac has the highest quality data and is demanded by our staff.
Portfolio Manager Integrated Oil Company
Others can provide data but we value the quality of the Wood Mac analysis above other sources.
As the trusted source of commercial intelligence for the world's natural resources sector for more than 40 years, we empower clients to make better strategic decisions with objective analysis and advice. Find out more...
Commodity market report | Jun 2016
Global aluminium short-term outlook June 2016
Have questions? Just let us know how to contact you and we will respond to you as soon as possible.