The copper metal market service long term outlook (LTO) is published quarterly and provides a detailed forecast of copper supply and demand fundamentals out to 2035. 2017 looks set to build on last year's turning point for copper. We expect the market to register a small deficit and stocks to be drawn lower. Stoppages at two of the largest mines have buoyed prices through Q1 2017 supporting a higher annual average forecast for the year. However any significant surge in prices is unlikely against a backdrop of rising interest rates in the USA and an appreciating US dollar. Over the next several years prices will drift gently higher given no material change in cathode stock. By 2020 as liquid stocks are eroded sharply lower we would expect a sizeable reaction in prices with copper set to spike by 2023. This will encourage new supply to the market and as surpluses emerge we expect LME quotes to subsequently trend lower to reach our forecast long term incentive level price by 2026.