Commodity Market Report

Global iron ore long-term outlook Q2 2019

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03 July 2019

Global iron ore long-term outlook Q2 2019

Report summary

2019 is shaping up to be a phenomenal year for iron ore. After almost two decades of continuous growth, global exports look set to fall by up to 30 million tonnes this year. That may not sound much in a seaborne market of 1.6 billion tonnes, but it takes on much greater significance this year because the forecast drop in supply is closely matched by forecast growth in Chinese demand – the expected net swing of approximately 60 million tonnes occurs at a time when global supply chains are already stretched to the limit. The result is an extremely tight (and nervous) seaborne market, with prices at five year highs and near record cash margins for the world's leading iron ore miners.

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    Global iron ore markets long-term outlook data 2019 Q2.xls

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    Global Iron Ore Long Term Outlook Q2_2019.pdf

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