Commodity market report

Global iron ore short-term outlook July 2016

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Report summary

The iron ore price surprised the market again in July with another rally bringing the TSI 62% index to nearly US$60/t. But this latest price movement was built on even more fragile fundamentals and we maintain our price outlook for H2 (US$49/t CFR) with the low point in Q4.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    IOMS Datafile July 2016.xls

    XLS 403.00 KB

  • Document

    Global iron ore short-term outlook July 2016

    PDF 417.30 KB

  • Document

    Global iron ore short-term outlook July 2016

    ZIP 597.32 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Market structure
  • Prices
  • Key companies
  • Supply-demand balances

Tables and charts

This report includes 18 images and tables including:

Images

  • Chart 5: Iron ore price vs. steel mill margin
  • Chart 6: Inventory at Chinese steel mills
  • Chart 1: Monthly Chinese steel production (annualised)
  • Chart 2: Steel HRC prices in China, Europe and the US
  • Chart 3: Chinese imports of iron ore by source
  • Chart 4: Demand outperformed supply in H1 2016.
  • Quarterly mine production
  • Q2-16 year-on-year production change
  • Iron ore exports: Q1 year-on-year change
  • Iron ore imports: Q1 year-on-year change
  • Global exports of iron ore
  • Global imports of iron ore

Tables

  • Key forecast data
  • Key companies: Table 1
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 1
  • Forecast data: iron ore trade and hot metal production (Mt)
  • Prices: Table 1
  • Prices: Table 2

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