Commodity market report

Global lead long-term outlook Q1 2016

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Report summary

Following a balanced market last year, refined lead supply-demand moves into significant deficits for this year and next due to inadequate mine supply that will curtail primary smelter output and force prices higher. Compounded by enduring scrap tightness holding secondary raw material costs at elevated levels, the commodity price will peak during 2018 before receding again as the market balance moves back into surplus. Medium-term global growth will be 3.0% pa, driven by Asian vehicle demand, as many economies continue the process of recovery and investor confidence returns to the Chinese economy.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Slide pack lead LTO Q1 2016.pdf

    PDF 706.09 KB

  • Document

    Lead Tables LTO Q1 2016.pdf

    PDF 1.66 MB

  • Document

    Demand main changes lead LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 137.50 KB

  • Document

    Demand analysis lead LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 467.00 KB

  • Document

    Supply main changes lead LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 531.50 KB

  • Document

    Production rankings lead LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 219.50 KB

  • Document

    Equity Production lead LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 5.27 MB

  • Document

    Mine analysis lead LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 2.53 MB

  • Document

    Smelter analysis lead LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 1.24 MB

  • Document

    Refinery analysis lead LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 1.14 MB

  • Document

    Market balance and prices lead LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 385.50 KB

  • Document

    Global lead long-term outlook Q1 2016

    PDF 840.29 KB

  • Document

    Global lead long-term outlook Q1 2016

    ZIP 5.31 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 81.40 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 114.38 KB

  • Document


    PDF 513.60 KB

  • Document


    PDF 215.89 KB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 44 images and tables including:


  • Supply-demand balances: Image 1
  • Primary v secondary output
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 3
  • Demand: Image 7
  • Demand: Image 8
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Demand: Image 3
  • Demand: Image 4
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Demand: Image 6
  • Demand: Image 9
  • US end use by sector
  • SLI replacement to offset weaker sectors
  • Supply: Image 1
  • Supply: Image 2


  • Demand: Table 1
  • African lead mine capability
  • Asian lead mine capability
  • European lead mine capability
  • Latin American lead mine capability
  • Middle East lead mine capability
  • North American lead mine capability
  • Supply: Table 7
  • Russia and the Caspian lead mine capability
  • African refined lead production
  • New Chinese refined capacity (forecast production, kt Pb)
  • Asian refined lead production
  • European refined lead production
  • Latin American refined lead production
  • Middle East refined lead production
  • North American refined lead production
  • Oceania refined lead production
  • Russia and the Caspian refined lead production
  • Demand: Table 2
  • Demand: Table 3
  • Demand: Table 4
  • Demand: Table 5
  • Global lead mine production capability change
  • Global mine production capability and market adjustment
  • Analysis of the lead-zinc mine production ratio
  • Changes to possible projects listing
  • Supply: Table 13
  • Supply: Table 14

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