Commodity Market Report

Global zinc long-term outlook Q1 2016

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Report summary

The Global Zinc Metal Market Long-term Outlook provides the latest update of detailed supply and demand analysis and price forecasts for the zinc market out to 2035. In the medium to long term, the key issue is whether the zinc mining industry will be able to develop sufficient new mine capacity to offset scheduled mine closures and the incremental increase in global demand. This structural issue has been exacerbated by the recent retreat in the zinc price which has forced major mine production cutbacks and threaten to force smelters cut production also.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Slide Pack Zinc LTO Q1 2016.pdf

    PDF 882.62 KB

  • Document

    Zinc Tables LTO Q1 2016.pdf

    PDF 2.11 MB

  • Document

    Demand analysis zinc LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 1.46 MB

  • Document

    Demand main changes zinc LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 243.50 KB

  • Document

    Production rankings zinc LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 147.00 KB

  • Document

    Equity Production zinc LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 5.66 MB

  • Document

    Supply main changes zinc LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 188.00 KB

  • Document

    Mine analysis zinc LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 2.05 MB

  • Document

    Smelter analysis zinc LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 3.21 MB

  • Document

    Market balance and prices zinc LTO Q1 2016.xls

    XLS 614.00 KB

  • Document

    Global zinc long-term outlook Q1 2016

    PDF 2.05 MB

  • Document

    Global zinc long-term outlook Q1 2016

    ZIP 7.60 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 77.92 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 1.64 MB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 231.55 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 206.93 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
      • China
      • India
      • Japan
      • First and end uses
      • First use
      • End use
      • Overview
      • Africa
      • Asia
      • Europe
      • Latin America
      • Middle East
      • North America
      • Oceania
      • Russia and the Caspian
      • World zinc mine production capability and mine projects
      • Overview
      • Africa
      • Asia
      • Europe
      • Russia and the Caspian
      • Middle East
      • Latin America
      • North America
      • Oceania
    • Zinc market dynamic
    • Supply and Demand - Base Case and Long Term

Tables and charts

This report includes 42 images and tables including:

Tables

  • Global slab zinc consumption by region
  • 2016 announced mine production cuts (kt Zn)
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 2
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 3
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 4
  • World capability forecasts by region and global market adjustment
  • African zinc mine production
  • Asian zinc mine production
  • European zinc mine production
  • Latin American zinc mine production
  • Middle Eastern mine production
  • North American zinc mine production
  • Oceania zinc mine production
  • Russia and the Caspian
  • Summary of zinc mine production capability changes
  • Possible project changes since previous quarter
  • World capability forecasts by region and global market adjustment
  • African zinc smelter production capability
  • Asian zinc smelter production capability
  • European zinc smelter production capability
  • Russia and the Caspian zinc smelter production capability
  • Middle Eastern zinc smelter production capability
  • Latin American zinc smelter production capability
  • North American zinc smelter production capability
  • Oceania zinc smelter production capability
  • Summary of zinc smelter production capability changes

Images

  • Global slab zinc consumption by region
  • Global economic slowdown forecast for 2018
  • Exchange stocks and price
  • Zinc metal and concentrate stock cycle (kt Zn)
  • LME cash zinc prices and base case forecast 1960- 2035
  • Forecast stocks and prices
  • Non-residential construction to become more important but growth will be muted in medium term
  • Chinese fixed asset investment in infrastructure has decelerated will is still posting double digit growth
  • Galvanized sheet production growth slows in 2015
  • Demand: Image 6
  • Chinese per capita consumption will not track Japan and South Korea
  • Indian first use consumption is dominated by galvanizing but zinc oxide and chemicals is growing in importance
  • Global first use consumption for zinc
  • Global zinc consumption by end use
  • Requirement and sources of future mine production
  • Requirement and sources of future smelter production

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