Commodity Market Report
Global zinc long-term outlook Q3 2019
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Report summary
The Global Zinc Metal Market Long-term Outlook provides the latest update of detailed supply and demand analysis and price forecasts for the zinc market out to 2040. Macro-economic concerns are overwhelming the influence of zinc’s fundamentals and the base case zinc price is forecast to remain low in the near-term. Our scenario analyses conform to the causality of supply, demand, stocks and price. They also consider a judgement of investor sentiment and behaviour that over the last four decades has so often caused zinc to test the highs and lows of the stock cycle and resulted in a history of volatile prices and treatment charges.
Table of contents
- Key Points
- Demand – what's changed?
- Supply – what's changed?
- Base case price forecasts
- Scenario analysis
-
Overview
- Risks to forecasts
- Near- medium-term
- Long-term
-
Mine Production
- Overview
- Project allowance
- Africa
- Asia
- Europe
- Latin America
- Middle East
- North America
- Oceania
- Russia and the Caspian
- World zinc mine production capability and mine projects
-
Refined Production
- Overview
- Africa
- Asia
- Europe
- Russia and the Caspian
- Middle East
- Latin America
- North America
- Oceania
- First use
- End use
Tables and charts
This report includes 38 images and tables including:
- Forecast stocks and prices
- Price forecasts and refined market balances
- Concentrate market balances
- US$ Trade Weighted Index versus zinc price with TWI averages
- LME cash zinc prices and base case forecast 1950- 2035
- Zinc price forecasts (real $/t)
- Zinc price forecasts (nominal $/t)
- Global slab zinc consumption by region
- The decline in the use of zinc-based die-casting alloys has reduced zinc's intensity of use in the global economy
- Global slab zinc consumption by region
- Global slowdown a risk
- World capability forecasts by region and global market adjustment
- Mine adjustment breakdown
- African zinc mine production
- Asian zinc mine production
- European zinc mine production
- Latin American zinc mine production
- Middle Eastern mine production
- North American zinc mine production
- Oceania zinc mine production
- Russia and the Caspian
- Summary of zinc mine production capability changes
- Requirement and sources of future mine production
- Possible project changes since previous quarter
- World capability forecasts by region and global market adjustment kt
- African zinc smelter production capability
- Asian zinc smelter production capability
- European zinc smelter production capability
- Russia and the Caspian zinc smelter production capability
- Latin American zinc smelter production capability
- North American zinc smelter production capability
- Oceania zinc smelter production capability
- Requirement and sources of future smelter production
- Global first use consumption for zinc
- Global zinc consumption by end use
- Zinc metal and concentrate stock cycle (kt Zn)
What's included
This report contains:
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