Commodity Market Report

Global zinc long-term outlook Q4 2015

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15 December 2015

Global zinc long-term outlook Q4 2015

Report summary

The Global Zinc Metal Market Long-term Outlook provides the latest update of detailed supply and demand analysis and price forecasts for the zinc market out to 2035. In the medium to long term, the key issue is whether the zinc mining industry will be able to develop sufficient new mine capacity to offset scheduled mine closures and the incremental increase in global demand. This structural issue has been exacerbated by the recent retreat in the zinc price which has forced major mine production cutbacks and threaten to force smelters cut production also.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Overview
      • China
      • Europe
    • First and end uses
      • First use
      • End use
    • Mine Production
      • Overview
      • Africa
      • Asia
      • Europe
      • Latin America
    • Zinc market dynamic
    • Supply and Demand - Base Case and Long Term

Tables and charts

This report includes 40 images and tables including:

  • Global slab zinc consumption by region
  • Global slab zinc consumption by region
  • Exchange stocks and price
  • Zinc metal and concentrate stock cycle (kt Zn)
  • LME cash zinc prices and base case forecast 1960- 2030
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 1
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 2
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 3
  • Non-residential construction to become more important but growth will be muted in medium term
  • Chinese fixed asset investment in infrastructure still growing strongly
  • Galvanized sheet production growth loses momentum
  • Chinese end use dominated by construction sector
  • China dominates global zinc consumption for forecast period
  • Chinese per capita consumption will not track Japan and South Korea
  • PMIs point to Europe's improving fortunes
  • European zinc demand growth to stagnate in long term
  • Global first use consumption for zinc
  • Global zinc consumption by end use
  • World capability forecasts by region and global market adjustment
  • African zinc mine production
  • Asian zinc mine production
  • European zinc mine production
  • Latin American zinc mine production
  • Supply: Table 6
  • Supply: Table 7
  • Supply: Table 8
  • Supply: Table 9
  • Supply: Table 10
  • Supply: Table 11
  • Supply: Table 12
  • Supply: Table 13
  • Supply: Table 14
  • Supply: Table 15
  • Supply: Table 16
  • Supply: Table 17
  • Supply: Table 18
  • Supply: Table 19
  • Supply: Table 20
  • Supply: Table 21
  • Supply: Table 22

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Zinc Tables LTO Q4 2015.pdf

    PDF 2.09 MB

  • Document

    Slide Pack Zinc LTO Q4 2015.pdf

    PDF 836.02 KB

  • Document

    Demand analysis zinc LTO Q4 2015.xls

    XLS 1.46 MB

  • Document

    Demand main changes zinc LTO Q4 2015.xls

    XLS 242.50 KB

  • Document

    Production rankings zinc LTO Q4 2015.xls

    XLS 145.50 KB

  • Document

    Equity Production zinc LTO Q4 2015.xls

    XLS 5.65 MB

  • Document

    Supply main changes zinc LTO Q4 2015.xls

    XLS 183.00 KB

  • Document

    Mine analysis zinc LTO Q4 2015.xls

    XLS 2.04 MB

  • Document

    Smelter analysis zinc LTO Q4 2015.xls

    XLS 3.06 MB

  • Document

    Market balance and prices zinc LTO Q4 2015.xls

    XLS 617.50 KB

  • Document

    Global zinc long-term outlook Q4 2015

    PDF 627.49 KB

  • Document

    Global zinc long-term outlook Q4 2015

    ZIP 6.14 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 77.86 KB

  • Document


    PDF 256.92 KB

  • Document


    PDF 219.88 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 160.44 KB