Commodity market report

Global zinc short-term outlook November 2016

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Report summary

The recent enthusiasm of Chinese retail investors for commodities expanded to zinc this month. The unexpected jump in Chinese prices spilt over into the LME and was amplified by short covering which helped to propel the zinc price to $2907/t at one point it's highest level for nine years. This years price rise has been fuelled in part by the clear evidence of the tightening of the concentrate market where treatment charges have fallen to their lowest levels since 2012.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Global zinc short-term outlook November 2016

    ZIP 679.27 KB

  • Document

    Data Tables Zinc STO November.xls

    XLS 331.50 KB

  • Document

    Global zinc short-term outlook November 2016

    PDF 605.27 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Demand
  • Supply

Tables and charts

This report includes 25 images and tables including:

Images

  • Short covering helps zinc price to nine year high
  • Price rise ignores stronger dollar
  • Exchange stocks drift lower
  • US automotive production is levelling off
  • Chinese economy gains momentum with all PMIs pointing to exapansion
  • Chinese smelter revenues from imported concentrate have fallen in 2016
  • China domestic TC (Rmb/t conc)
  • Smelter revenue from domestic TC ($/t conc)
  • Chinese sources of concentrate imports
  • Index of monthly Chinese mine production
  • Supply: Image 6

Tables

  • Zinc key forecasts
  • Price forecasts and global quarterly supply and demand balance
  • Treatment charges $/t of concentrate
  • Concentrate Balances
  • Demand: Table 1
  • Key indicators of zinc consumption
  • Supply: Table 3
  • Supply: Table 4
  • Global zinc consumption - (kt Zn)
  • Supply: Table 6
  • Global zinc smelter production (kt Zn)
  • Supply: Table 8
  • Chinese trade data (kt)
  • Global slab zinc supply/demand balance (kt)

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