Commodity market report

Global zinc short-term outlook September 2016

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Report summary

This month the zinc price hit $2363/t an 18 month high. Short selling subsequently undermined the price however the retreat proved short lived and it recovered most of its lost ground. Further evidence of the tightness in the concentrate market emerged this month with spot treatment charges falling from $105/t to $90/t their lowest level since April 2012. Furthermore some Chinese smelters are believed to be buying in the range $80 90/t. The fall in treatment charges has been accompanied by an increased number of Chinese smelters seeking to purchase spot material and reports that smelters in the south of the country are depleting their stocks of concentrate and those in the north are not able to build stocks ahead of seasonal supply disruptions caused by winter.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Data Tables Zinc STO September 2016.xls

    XLS 288.00 KB

  • Document

    Global zinc short-term outlook September 2016

    PDF 545.87 KB

  • Document

    Global zinc short-term outlook September 2016

    ZIP 619.26 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Demand
  • Supply

Tables and charts

This report includes 25 images and tables including:

Images

  • Price hits 18 month high
  • Exchange stocks drift lower
  • Regional changes to forecast for 2016-2018
  • Comparison of global forecasts
  • Fixed asset investment levels off in August
  • Real-estate sector slowing
  • Soaring popularity of SUVs driving light commercial vehicle production growth
  • Automotive output drives galvanized sheet shipments
  • AIA billings index points to softer non-residential construction in 2017
  • Index of monthly Chinese smelter production
  • Chinese sources of concentrate imports

Tables

  • Zinc key forecasts
  • Treatment charges $/t of concentrate
  • Supply: Table 3
  • Zinc smelter capability, market adjustment and production (kt Zn)
  • Global zinc consumption - (kt Zn)
  • Global zinc mine production (kt Zn)
  • Global zinc smelter production (kt Zn)
  • Zinc stocks, prices and premiums
  • Chinese trade data (kt)
  • Global slab zinc supply/demand balance (kt)
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 1
  • Demand: Table 1
  • Key indicators of zinc consumption
  • Supply: Table 2

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