Insight
China syndrome: Future nickel supply and long term price
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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
In the two prior insights in this trilogy - "The Magnificent Seven: Current status of new laterite Ni projects" and "Mission Impossible: Averting the long-term nickel shortage" – the underlying conclusion was that the combination of commissioning issues and delays in construction that would almost inevitably be associated future projects would make it very difficult for "western" producers to provide sufficient nickel units to meet our long term demand requirement of 400kt by 2025. Indeed...
Table of contents
- Executive summary
- Test for the west
- Chinese demand – leading the world
- Chinese resourcefulness - the rise of NPI
- Chinese future – sufficient NPI capacity already exists
- Indonesian imponderable
- The sting – less from the west
- Conclusion
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
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China drives long term demand for nickelChinese total primary nickel consumption (kt)Chinese primary nickel use in stainless only (kt)
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Chinese total nickel use in stainless (kt)Chinese total nickel use in stainless (%)The growing share of NPI in primary nickel use in Chinese stainlessAdditional NPI needed to meet long term NPI requirement in Chinese stainless steelGlobal long-term nickel requirement from China and RoWRoW nickel requirement of 200kt needs incentive price of about $10/lb
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