Commodity market report

Global nickel long-term outlook Q1 2015

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Report summary

Nickel prices have trended down so far in 2015. With the market awaiting tangible evidence of NPI supply tightening in China that could promote a bullish attitude towards prices the otherwise bearish indicators of Q1/15 such as softer than expected demand and further increases in LME nickel stocks have pushed nickel prices lower rather than higher. This has resulted in a cut in our near to mid term price forecasts.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Nickel Tables LTO Q1 2015.pdf

    PDF 1.25 MB

  • Document

    LTO Slidepack Q1 2015.pdf

    PDF 494.22 KB

  • Document

    Demand main changes nickel LTO Q1 2015.xls

    XLS 133.50 KB

  • Document

    Demand analysis nickel LTO Q1 2015.xls

    XLS 1.60 MB

  • Document

    Supply main changes nickel LTO Q1 2015.xls

    XLS 164.00 KB

  • Document

    Production rankings nickel LTO Q1 2015.xls

    XLS 62.00 KB

  • Document

    Equity Production nickel LTO Q1 2015.xls

    XLS 3.08 MB

  • Document

    Mine analysis nickel LTO Q1 2015.xls

    XLS 727.00 KB

  • Document

    Smelter analysis nickel LTO Q1 2015.xls

    XLS 360.00 KB

  • Document

    Refinery analysis nickel LTO Q1 2015.xls

    XLS 881.50 KB

  • Document

    Market balance and prices nickel LTO Q1 2015.xls

    XLS 359.00 KB

  • Document

    Global nickel long-term outlook Q1 2015

    PDF 410.44 KB

  • Document

    Global nickel long-term outlook Q1 2015

    ZIP 3.85 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 52.91 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 166.29 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 124.39 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 93.32 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Supply-demand balances

Tables and charts

This report includes 18 images and tables including:

Images

  • Global regional nickel consumption
  • Near-term year on year deficits
  • Global nickel supply and demand - long-term supply shortfall
  • Boeing aircraft orders and delivery rates
  • Japanese battery production
  • Japanese Li-ion cell production and hybrid vehicle output
  • Mined nickel production capability
  • Refined nickel production capability
  • Stainless melting capacity utilisation at the major Chinese stainless mills
  • Chinese CR stainless exports amount to 15% of production on a melt basis
  • Outokumpu reorganisation: Increased nickel uptake in Finland does not offset decline in Germany
  • Average monthly CR stainless imports from China & Taiwan up sharply since 2012
  • Global nickel consumption by first use
  • Global stainless steel product consumption by end use

Tables

  • Regional nickel consumption (kt)
  • Near-term changes in mine production capability, excluding highly probable projects (kt)
  • Near-term changes in refined production capability, excluding highly probable projects (kt)
  • NPI plants in Linyi city, Shandong province, closed for environmental irregularities

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