Asset Report

Malaysia Sarawak East Natuna exploration basin

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06 February 2018

Malaysia Sarawak East Natuna exploration basin

Report summary

The Sarawak-East Natuna Basin is located off the northern coast of Borneo and straddles the maritime boundary of Malaysia and Indonesia. It is one of the most prolific in SE Asia, with total resources of over 13.7 bnboe discovered to date. Large gas finds in both the shelf and deepwater in recent years point to material remaining prospective resources. There is sufficient export and production infrastructure in the shallow waters of the basin to support production from future discoveries in the two shelf plays. However, gas-dominated deepwater discoveries will require significant investment and would receive limited relief from cost recovery. Explorers will therefore need to achieve low costs or realise higher gas prices to deliver value from this play. Historically, Shell has dominated exploration activity, with more recent newcomers including SapuraKencana and Murphy playing an increasingly greater role in the basin. Full details are available for download in pdf and xls format.

Table of contents

  • Key facts
    • Key issues include:
  • Location maps
  • Participation
    • Company success rates
  • Geology
    • Wells drilled
    • Basin success rates
    • Volumes discovered
    • Prospective resource potential
    • Play inputs - Oligo-Miocene Sandstones
      • Creaming curve and key play data
    • Play inputs - Shelf-Miocene Sandstones
      • Creaming curve and key play data
    • Play inputs - Deepwater Miocene Carbonates
      • Creaming curve and key play data
    • Prospective resource costs and underlying development assumptions
      • Shelf Miocene Carbonates
    • Recent discovery costs
    • Licensing
    • Fiscal terms
      • Oligo-Miocene Sandstones and Shelf Miocene Carbonates
      • Deepwater Miocene Carbonates
        • Typical deepwater fiscal terms
    • Oil and gas prices
    • TYP economics
    • Outlook economics
    • Development value
      • Oligo-Miocene Sandstones
      • Shelf Miocene Carbonates
      • Deepwater Miocene Carbonates
      • Prospect Breakeven Price
      • Oligo-Miocene Sandstones
      • Shelf Miocene Carbonates
      • Deepwater Miocene Carbonates
    • Expected monetary value (EMV)
    • Full-cycle basin economics
    • Implied acreage value

Tables and charts

This report includes 74 images and tables including:

  • Play level data
  • Assumptions
  • Value creation versus investment (TYP period)
  • Value creation versus investment (outlook)
  • Exploration history map
  • Exploration wells by play
  • Licensed exploration acreage
  • Expiry forecast of current licences
  • Key licence holders
  • Key well operators (TYP period)
  • Gross exploration wells completed by operator
  • Net exploration wells completed by participant
  • Key play characteristics
  • Commerciality index
  • Company success rates and discoveries
  • Drilling activity by well type
  • Cumulative exploration wells by play
  • Discoveries and success rates
  • Discoveries by licence year and drilling year
  • Basin creaming curve
  • Key basin data
  • Volumes discovered by year
  • Average discovery size and volume per well by year
  • Top discoveries (TYP period)
  • Cumulative discoveries by play
  • Cumulative volumes discovered by play
  • Reserves and resources: Table 3
  • Development: Table 1
  • Costs: Table 1
  • Summary of discovering and development costs
  • Exploration and appraisal spend
  • Exploration spend per well and average well depth
  • Brent and local oil price assumptions
  • Henry Hub and local gas price assumptions
  • Value creation, spend and volume discovered
  • Returns by drilling year
  • Breakeven price versus prospect size
  • Value creation versus investment
  • Oligo-Miocene Sandstones
  • Economic analysis: Table 2
  • Economic analysis: Table 3
  • Oligo-Miocene Sandstones
  • Shelf Miocene Carbonates
  • Deepwater Miocene Carbonates
  • Full-cycle economic analysis
  • Average value of future discoveries and implied acreage value
  • Oligo-Miocene Sandstones
  • Key play data
  • Model field pool size distribution
  • Existing discoveries and modelled prospective resource pool size distribution
  • Shelf-Miocene Sandstones
  • Key play data
  • Model field pool size distribution
  • Existing discoveries and modelled prospective resource pool size distribution
  • Deepwater Miocene Carbonates
  • Key play data
  • Model field pool size distribution
  • Existing discoveries and modelled prospective resource pool size distribution
  • Development: Table 2
  • Development: Table 3
  • Typical shelf fiscal terms
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Fiscal and regulatory: Table 2

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Malaysia Sarawak - East Natuna.zip

    ZIP 5.06 MB

  • Document

    Malaysia Sarawak East Natuna exploration basin

    PDF 6.53 MB

  • Document

    Malaysia Sarawak East Natuna exploration basin

    ZIP 11.13 MB

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