Asset Report

Malaysia Sarawak East Natuna exploration basin

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18 June 2019

Malaysia Sarawak East Natuna exploration basin

Report summary

The Sarawak - Luconia-East Natuna Basin is located off the northern coast of Borneo and straddles the maritime boundary of Malaysia and Indonesia. It is one of the most prolific in SE Asia, with total resources of over 13.8 bnboe discovered to date. During the last decade, overall and commercial success rates were significantly higher than global average. Large gas finds in the shelf and deepwater in recent years indicate material remaining prospective resources. The enlarging gas supply/demand gap and sufficient infrastructure in the shallow waters of the basin support the commercialisation of future discoveries in the two shelf plays. However, gas-dominated deepwater discoveries will require significant investment and need to achieve low costs or higher gas price to deliver value. Shell, PETRONAS, ConocoPhillips, SapuraKencana, Murphy Oil and Mubadala are among the most active explorers in the basin. Full details are available for download in pdf and xls format.

Table of contents

  • Key issues include:
  • Licensing participation
  • Wells drilled
  • Basin success rates
  • Volumes discovered
  • Prospective resource potential
    • Creaming curve and key play data
    • Creaming curve and key play data
    • Creaming curve and key play data
    • Prospective resource costs and underlying development assumptions
  • Licensing
    • R/C PSC terms for Oligo-Miocene sandstones and Shelf Miocene carbonates plays
    • Deepwater PSC terms for Deepwater Miocene Carbonates play
  • Oil and gas prices
  • TYP economics
  • Outlook economics
    • Oligo-Miocene Sandstones
    • Shelf Miocene Carbonates
    • Deepwater Miocene Carbonates
    • Prospect Breakeven Price
    • Oligo-Miocene Sandstones
    • Shelf Miocene Carbonates
    • Deepwater Miocene Carbonates
  • Expected monetary value (EMV)
  • Play economics
  • Full-cycle basin economics

Tables and charts

This report includes 68 images and tables including:

  • Commerciality index
  • Exploration history map
  • Exploration wells by play
  • Licensed exploration acreage
  • Expiry forecast of current licences
  • Key licence holders
  • Gross exploration wells completed by operator
  • Net exploration wells completed by participant
  • Key well operators, success rates and discoveries
  • Key play characteristics
  • Drilling activity by well type
  • Cumulative exploration wells by play
  • Discoveries and success rates
  • Discoveries by licence year and drilling year
  • Basin creaming curve
  • Key basin data
  • Volumes discovered by year
  • Average discovery size and volume per well by year
  • Top discoveries (TYP period)
  • Cumulative discoveries by play
  • Cumulative volumes discovered by play
  • Forecast data by play (outlook)
  • Brent and local oil price assumptions
  • Henry Hub and local gas price assumptions
  • Value creation, spend and volume discovered
  • Returns by drilling year
  • Breakeven price versus prospect size
  • Value creation versus investment
  • Oligo-Miocene Sandstones
  • Shelf Miocene Carbonates
  • Deepwater Miocene Carbonates
  • Oligo-Miocene Sandstones
  • Shelf Miocene Carbonates
  • Deepwater Miocene Carbonates
  • Full-cycle economic analysis
  • Oligo-Miocene Sandstones
  • Key play data
  • Model field pool size distribution
  • Existing discoveries and modelled prospective resource pool size distribution
  • Shelf-Miocene Sandstones
  • Key play data
  • Model field pool size distribution
  • Existing discoveries and modelled prospective resource pool size distribution
  • Deepwater Miocene Carbonates
  • Key play data
  • Model field pool size distribution
  • Existing discoveries and modelled prospective resource pool size distribution
  • Oligo-Miocene Sandstones
  • Shelf Miocene Carbonates
  • Deepwater Miocene Carbonates
  • Recent discovery costs
  • Summary of discovering and development costs (TYP and Outlook)
  • Exploration and appraisal spend
  • Exploration spend per well and average well depth
  • Typical shelf fiscal terms
  • Typical deepwater fiscal terms
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Malaysia_Sarawak - Luconia-East Natuna_Shelf Miocene carbonates.zip

    ZIP 4.08 MB

  • Document

    Malaysia Sarawak East Natuna exploration basin

    ZIP 5.44 MB

  • Document

    Malaysia Sarawak East Natuna exploration basin

    ZIP 5.44 MB

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