Commodity market report

Global macro oils long-term outlook H2 2015

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Report summary

The Macro Oils update to our May 2015 long-term oil outlook to 2035 provides forecasts for OPEC and non-OPEC supply, world oil demand and an oil price forecast for Brent.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Global macro oils long-term outlook H2 2015

    PDF 1.03 MB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 55 images and tables including:

Images

  • US tight oil new development volumes by breakeven band ($ Brent)*
  • Conventional pre-FID development volumes by breakeven band*
  • OPEC spare capacity and its proportion of world oil demand
  • OPEC spare capacity comparison of forecasts
  • Forecast of Brent-WTI differential
  • Outlook for WTI-WCS
  • Annual global production capacity change between the May 2015 and November 2015 outlook
  • Non OPEC regional production
  • Change to non-OPEC regional supply since May 2015
  • Year-on-year non-OPEC growth
  • Global demand growth
  • Cumulative revisions since the H1 2015 outlook
  • Global oil demand
  • Average annual change in global oil demand
  • Oil displaced by natural gas in transport
  • Electric vehicles as % of new light vehicle sales
  • Total change in global oil demand by sector between 2014-2035
  • North American oil demand by product
  • Change in North American oil demand by product
  • European oil demand by sector
  • Change in European oil demand by product
  • Russia & Caspian oil demand by sector
  • Change in Russian & Caspian oil demand by sector
  • Latin American demand by product
  • Change in Latin American demand by product
  • Middle East oil demand by product
  • Change in Middle Eastern oil demand by product
  • Africa oil demand by product
  • Change in African oil demand by product
  • US oil supply outlook
  • Year-over-year change in US oil supply
  • Map showing selected pipelines ferrying light crude
  • Outlook for Canada oil supply
  • Growing supply of crude oil from Canada
  • Map showing some WCS routes to market
  • US liquids supply
  • Canada liquids supply
  • Brazil production outlook
  • Iraq southern production split by blend
  • OPEC production capacity
  • Change to OPEC capacity since May 2015

Tables

  • Summary Data for key forecasts in the long-term outlook
  • Real GDP Growth: Q4 2015 forecast
  • Supply and demand balance
  • Brent history and forecast to 2035 (real and nominal)
  • Global capacity outlook (million b/d)
  • Global Oil Demand By Region, including biofuels (million b/d)
  • European Oil Demand By Product, including biofuels (million b/d)
  • Asian Oil Demand By Product, including biofuels (million b/d)
  • China Oil Demand By Product, including biofuels (million b/d)
  • US and Canada liquids production ('000 b/d)
  • Non-OPEC oil supply to 2035
  • OPEC oil/NGL capacity (million b/d)
  • Unconventionals production to 2035 ('000 b/d)
  • Demand: Table 2

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