Macro oils short-term outlook: September 2024
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Report summary
Table of contents
- 2025-2026
- Alternative Case for OPEC+
- Political Risk
-
Global supply: non-OPEC supply remains buoyant as attention turns to a change in OPEC+ policy
- Non-OPEC supply: outlook driven by upgrades to US NGLs and Lower 48
- US Lower 48 oil production will grow annually at 3% through 2025
- Consolidation continues beyond the Permian to boost efficiency and bring synergies
- Fewer rigs doesn’t mean less production, as operators boost output through efficiency
- OPEC: we assume OPEC+ delay unwinding of cuts until Q2 2025
- Global demand: Despite sluggish global manufacturing, petrochemical growth strengthens this year
- Liquids demand by key markets
- China
- 4 more item(s)...
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