Commodity Market Report

Emerging technologies move forward: North America power and renewables H1 2017 long-term highlights

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23 June 2017

Emerging technologies move forward: North America power and renewables H1 2017 long-term highlights

Report summary

In this outlook we have extended our forecast to 2040 (from 2036) to help give longer visibility around prices, supply and demand, and generator economics. A number of other changes stand out. Long-term electric demand is higher thanks in large part to a higher penetration of electric vehicles. In terms of thermal generation, many US coal and nuclear reactors reach the end of their 60 year life and retire. As a result, North America power gas demand will double over the forecast.

Table of contents

    • Demand – EVs increasingly offset impact of expanding distributed generation
    • Gas prices – supply continues to outpace demand
    • Carbon prices – what’s old is new again
    • Coal retirements – more coal plants expected to make it to the end of their useful life
    • Nuclear
    • Renewables
    • Gas fired generation
    • Prices – near to mid term pressures still prevalent, although carbon prices give a long term boost

Tables and charts

This report includes 5 images and tables including:

  • Figure 1: Forecast natural gas prices (H1 2017 vs H2 2016)
  • Figure 2: Forecast carbon prices (H1 2017 vs H2 2016)
  • Figure 3: Announced coal retirements since November 2016
  • Figure 4: Forecast North America generation balances
  • Figure 5: Forecasted average North American power prices (H1 2017 vs H2 2016)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Emerging technologies move forward: North America power and renewables H1 2017 long-term highlights

    PDF 828.65 KB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Report 6 15 2017 Appendix Modeling Enhancements.pdf

    PDF 537.47 KB

  • Document

    H1 2017 Americas Power & Renewables Base Case highlights.pdf

    PDF 25.93 MB

  • Document

    WoodMac NAPR PowerGlossary.pdf

    PDF 376.00 KB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Battery Cost Forecast 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 100.88 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Capacity Prices 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 409.47 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Coal Clean Equipment Data 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 301.29 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Coal Retirements 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 136.79 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Delivered Fuel Prices Nominal 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 702.25 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Delivered Fuel Prices Real 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 712.28 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Emission Prices Nominal 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 127.88 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Emission Prices Real 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 129.04 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Emissions 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 259.73 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Load Forecast 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 3.24 MB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Macroeconomics 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 116.28 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Prices Sparks IHR Darks Nominal 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 12.82 MB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Prices Sparks IHR Darks Real 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 15.64 MB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Renewable Energy Credit prices 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 1002.67 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Solar DG 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 163.11 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO State RPS Targets 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 3.12 MB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Supply Demand Energy 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 2.07 MB

  • Document

    NAPRS LTO Transmission Projects in Base Case 6 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 79.00 KB

  • Document

    Emerging technologies move forward: North America power and renewables H1 2017 long-term highlights

    ZIP 62.78 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 828.58 KB

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