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6 Pages

European gas after Ukraine – what to look out for


European gas after Ukraine – what to look out for

Report summary

The biggest loser out of the on-going Russia-Ukraine tension will likely be gas advocacy.  While Europe will remain depending upon Russian gas, albeit likely less of it, gas might end up reducing its share in energy demand. The longer term impact on the European gas markets remains to be seen.  Over the following 12 months we expect some decisions that will provide signposts for the future – policy at EU and national level, regulation and corporate decisions.


What's included?

This report includes 1 file(s)

  • European gas after Ukraine – what to look out for PDF - 518.79 KB 6 Pages, 0 Tables, 3 Figures

Description

This Gas Markets Insight report highlights the key issues surrounding this topic, and draws out the implications for those involved.

For participants, suppliers and advisors who want to look at the trends, risks and issues surrounding this topic, this report gives you an expert point of view to help inform your decision making.

We provide detailed supply, demand and price forecasts based on our integrated upstream, power, coal and LNG research. Our regional gas experts are based in the markets they analyse, providing comprehensive analyses of regional and global gas markets.

If you want to understand complex gas market dynamics and plan for the future, Wood Mackenzie is the premier resource to help you gain a clear, competitive advantage.

  • Executive Summary
  • Background
    • Demand-side Measures
    • Binding, more ambitious energy efficiency targets could reduce gas demand in the residential and commercial sector
    • Some national governments could make fresh efforts to influence public opinion on nuclear
    • Coal could be quietly promoted as a transitional fuel ahead of gas
    • More aggressive renewables targets could emerge
  • Supply Alternatives
    • Norwegian gas upside requires fiscal improvements and infrastructure development
    • European policy makers can do more to support development of its shale resource
    • Some US LNG was coming to Europe anyway - it remains to be seen whether Russia-Ukraine tensions will result in more
    • The Southern Corridor appear to benefit from Russia-Ukraine tensions
    • R ussia retains the power to frustrate supply competition
      • Long run delivered costs of gas to North West Europe
    • But European market liberalisation will present opportunities for Ukraine and East Europe to reduce its reliance on Russian gas
  • Conclusions

In this report there are 3 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive Summary
  • Background
    • European* primary energy demand by fuel (2013)
    • European* supply mix (2013)
  • Supply Alternatives
    • European gas after Ukraine – what to look out for: Image 3
  • Conclusions
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