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European gas and power short term price outlook (Q2 2015)

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Report summary

European spot pricing dynamics will be driven by players' optimisation of Russian contract off take and storage within "contestable demand". We forecast year on year demand growth driven by a return to normal weather higher exports to Ukraine and lower Dutch production We forecast a tightening LNG market over 2015 with lower European imports. But low contract price levels will prevent spot price upside during winter and prices will trade at the high end of coal gas switching levels.

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    European gas and power short term price outlook.xls

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Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 8 images and tables including:

Images

  • Chart 1: Russian (RU) imports and storage
  • Chart 2: NBP spot vs Russian (RU) contract
  • Chart 3: Identified European region
  • Chart 4: European net LNG imports
  • Chart 5: Contestable demand: European demand* vs indigenous production and non-Russian imports
  • European gas and power short term price outlook (Q2 2015): Image 6
  • Chart 7: UK base load power prices (GB market)
  • Chart 8: Clean spark and dark spreads – including Carbon Price Support (CPS) costs

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