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Indonesia power markets long-term full report H2 2014

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Report summary

This is the full report for the Indonesia power markets long term summary H 2014. The two new regulations approved by the Ministry early this year signify the priority given by the new government to the energy sector amidst the country s looming power capacity shortage. However with the existing difficulties and the lead time required for project development the new regulations will at best soften the impact of power shortages.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Indonesia Power Data.xls

    XLS 1.63 MB

  • Document

    Indonesia power markets long-term full report H2 2014

    PDF 1.17 MB

  • Document

    Indonesia power markets long-term full report H2 2014

    ZIP 1.58 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 102.09 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 95.34 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 243.05 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 145.37 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 203.58 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 598.98 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 98.69 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 145.38 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 137.92 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 103.43 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Policy and regulation
  • Supply
  • Costs
  • Infrastructure
  • Demand
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Prices
  • Risks and uncertainties

Tables and charts

This report includes 52 images and tables including:

Images

  • GDP forecast - Indonesia
  • Indonesia’s energy policy and regulatory structure
  • Indonesia power market value chain
  • Existing and Planned capacity with Peak Load
  • Indonesia capacity by plant type and reserve margin
  • Java Bali capacity by plant type and reserve margin
  • Sumatra capacity by plant type and reserve margin
  • Rest of Indonesia available capacity
  • Rest of Indonesia Reserve Margin
  • Breakeven cost (LRMC) based on technology (2020 prices)
  • Java-Bali 2015 merit order
  • Java-Bali 2025 merit order
  • Sumatra 2015 merit order
  • Sumatra 2025 merit order
  • Java-Bali: Capacity factor by plant type (% utilisation)
  • Sumatra: Capacity factor by plant type (% utilisation)
  • PLN’s electricity prices
  • PLN’s average electricity prices
  • Java-Bali : Average annual short term generation costs
  • Sumatra : Average annual short term generation costs
  • Java-Bali and Sumatra breakeven cost for power end-users
  • GDP growth assumptions for high and low case
  • Power demand sensitivity on gas
  • Power infrastructure – West and Central Java
  • Power infrastructure – East Java and Bali
  • Indonesia grid generation by fuel used
  • Java-Bali grid generation by fuel used
  • Sumatra grid generation by fuel used
  • Rest of Indonesia grid generation by fuel used
  • Java Bali : intra regional power transfers
  • Sumatra : intra regional power transfers
  • Java-Bali coal growth for high and low case
  • Java-Bali coal demand sensitivity on gas in power
  • Sumatra coal growth for high and low case
  • Sumatra coal demand sensitivity on gas in power
  • Power infrastructure – South Sumatra
  • Power infrastructure – Central Sumatra
  • Power infrastructure – Aceh and North Sumatra

Tables

  • Economic indicators
  • Indonesia power available capacity
  • Indonesia power market balance
  • Indonesia gas demand by sector
  • Key changes to analysis from H1 2014 publication:
  • Major energy legislation
  • Renewable Energy Selling Price
  • Geothermal Selling Price (Ministerial Regulation 17/2014)
  • Java Bali - new plant economics by technology (LRMC) for new-build using real levelised 2014 prices
  • Sumatra/Rest of Indonesia - New plant economics by technology (LRMC) for new-build using real levelised 2013 prices
  • Demand: Table 1
  • The government subsidy to PLN under the Public Service Obligation
  • Java-Bali: power transmission capacity across regions
  • Sumatra: power transmission capacity across regions

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