Commodity market report

Late season surprises: Southeast power and renewables short term outlook September 2017

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Report summary

Although September proved to be another mild month keeping the forecast for natural gas prices in check power prices surprised to the upside in a number of markets over the past few weeks. Power prices saw uplift during the last part of September in PJM and the Northeast while ERCOT Houston saw prices spike earlier this week. Still lower forecast natural gas prices and power loads this month keep pressure on power prices over the outlook.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    201709 STO Base Case Delivered Fuel Prices Nominal Southeast 09 29 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 120.44 KB

  • Document

    201709 STO Base Case Delivered Fuel Prices Real Southeast 09 29 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 120.49 KB

  • Document

    201709 STO Base Case Load Forecast Southeast 09 29 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 2.54 MB

  • Document

    201709 STO Base Case Prices Sparks IHR Darks Nominal Southeast 09 29 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 949.44 KB

  • Document

    201709 STO Base Case Prices Sparks IHR Darks Real Southeast 09 29 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 2.65 MB

  • Document

    201709 STO Base Case Short Term Fundamentals Southeast 09 29 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 346.92 KB

  • Document

    Late season surprises: Southeast power and renewables short term outlook September 2017

    PDF 553.14 KB

  • Document

    Late season surprises: Southeast power and renewables short term outlook September 2017

    ZIP 6.48 MB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Fundamentals
  • Generation balances and prices
  • Scenario Overview

Tables and charts

This report includes 7 images and tables including:

Images

  • Figure 1: Eastern markets fall 2017 nuclear availability
  • Figure 2: Changes in Eastern power market fundamentals (Relative to August 2017 STO)
  • Figure 3: Relative changes in Eastern markets’ power price metrics (Relative to August 2017 STO)
  • Figure 4: Western markets fall 2017 nuclear availability
  • Figure 5: Changes in WECC power market fundamentals (Relative to August 2017 STO)
  • Figure 6: Relative changes in WECC markets’ power price metrics (Relative to August 2017 STO)

Tables

  • Figure 7: North American power generation balances and fuel prices

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