Commodity Market Report

Market shares continues to shift: ERCOT short term outlook February 2018

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Report summary

Recent generator announcements continue to impact the short term outlook. In PJM, additional coal and nuclear retirements are reflected with the Pleasants Power Station in West Virginia and Exelon's Oyster Creek  in New Jersey. In ERCOT, incremental supply changes also imply additional upside to prices this summer. And, in California, NRG announced it would retire a number of gas fired generators in the market in the near term.   Finally, in terms of demand, recent announcements around power intensive industrial projects also highlight potential additional upside to the forecast.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    STO Final Delivered Fuel Prices Nominal ERCOT 3 6 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 114.96 KB

  • Document

    STO Final Delivered Fuel Prices Real ERCOT 3 6 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 114.96 KB

  • Document

    STO Final Load Forecast ERCOT 3 6 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 2.50 MB

  • Document

    STO Final Prices Sparks IHR Darks Nominal ERCOT 3 6 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 724.24 KB

  • Document

    STO Final Prices Sparks IHR Darks Real ERCOT 3 6 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 2.44 MB

  • Document

    STO Final Short Term Fundamentals ERCOT 3 6 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 168.44 KB

  • Document

    Market shares continues to shift: ERCOT short term outlook February 2018

    PDF 351.72 KB

  • Document

    Market shares continues to shift: ERCOT short term outlook February 2018

    ZIP 5.57 MB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 5 images and tables including:

Tables

  • Figure 5: North American power generation balances and fuel prices

Images

  • Figure 1: Changes in Eastern power market fundamentals (Relative to December 2017 STO)
  • Figure 2: Relative changes in Eastern markets’ power price metrics (Relative to December 2017 STO)
  • Figure 3: Changes in WECC power market fundamentals (Relative to December 2017 STO)
  • Figure 4: Relative changes in WECC markets’ power price metrics (Relative to December 2017 STO)

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