Commodity Market Report

Midwest Power & Renewables long term outlook H1 2016

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23 June 2016

Midwest Power & Renewables long term outlook H1 2016

Report summary

In this outlook, reduced long term demand growth delays recovery in North American power markets. Lower capacity and energy prices in some markets will keep pressure on certain coal generators, while several existing nuclear facilities are facing early retirement pressures. Compared to our previous outlook, 20 GW of additional wind capacity is added over the forecast, with the Clean Power Plan (CPP) and accelerating RPS targets in some states maintaining a relatively strong wind build long term

Table of contents

    • Introduction
    • GDP and overall demand growth revised lower
    • Natural gas prices see near to mid-term support on slowing of production
    • Carbon prices project lower on slower demand growth and continued renewable build-out
    • Coal retirements still see some upside in this outlook
    • While nuclear capacity now under increasing pressure
    • Reserve margins in flux through the forecast
    • Transmission still facing hurdles to reach potential in unlocking regional bottlenecks
    • Market rules look to offset pressure on prices from intermittent generation

Tables and charts

No table or charts specified

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Midwest Regional Market Overview.pdf

    PDF 3.75 MB

  • Document

    North America Power & Renewables Long-term outlook H1 2016 Report.pdf

    PDF 5.16 MB

  • Document

    North America Power & Renewables Long-term outlook H1 2016 Modelling Assumptions.pdf

    PDF 50.29 KB

  • Document

    North America Power & Renewables Long-term outlook H1 2016 Executive Summary.pdf

    PDF 612.98 KB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Capacity Prices Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 790.50 KB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Coal Clean Equipment Data Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 508.50 KB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Coal Retirements Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 186.00 KB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Delivered Fuel Prices Nominal Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 328.00 KB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Delivered Fuel Prices Real Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 327.50 KB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Emissions Forecast Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 4.14 MB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Emission Prices Nominal Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 151.00 KB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Emission Prices Real Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 151.00 KB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Load Forecast Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 6.26 MB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO MacroEconomics Assumptions Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 1.79 MB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Prices Sparks IHR Darks Nominal Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 13.58 MB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Prices Sparks IHR Darks Real Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 13.58 MB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Renewable Energy Credit Prices Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 4.56 MB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO State RPS Targets Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 2.44 MB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Supply Demand Energy Midwest 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 2.56 MB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Transmission Projects in Base Case Midwest 6 15 2015.xls

    XLS 86.50 KB

  • Document

    NAPS LTO Transmission Trends Tracking 6 15 2016.xls

    XLS 151.00 KB

  • Document

    Midwest Power & Renewables long term outlook H1 2016

    ZIP 20.59 MB