Commodity market report

Midwest power markets short-term outlook September 2016

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Report summary

Overall loads in this outlook are forecast approximately one percent lower through 2018 relative to our previous update. Improvements in demand higher gas prices next year and a projected round of coal retirements help stabilize prices in ERCOT. The overhang of new combined cycle build out continues to keep pressure on prices in PJM. In the WECC hydro generation is altering its profile to minimize solar and wind curtailments impacting fossil fired generation balances.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    NAPS STO STV Midwest 9 30 2016.xls

    XLS 27.28 MB

  • Document

    Midwest power markets short-term outlook September 2016

    PDF 360.29 KB

  • Document

    Midwest power markets short-term outlook September 2016

    ZIP 4.02 MB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Fundamentals
  • Generation balances and prices
  • Scenario Overview

Tables and charts

This report includes 5 images and tables including:

Images

  • Generation balances and prices: Image 1
  • Figure 2: Relative changes in Eastern markets’ power price metrics (Relative to August 2016 STO)
  • Figure 3: Changes in WECC power market fundamentals (Relative to August 2016 STO)
  • Figure 4: Relative changes in WECC markets’ power price metrics (Relative to August 2016 STO)

Tables

  • Figure 5: North American power generation balances and fuel prices

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