Commodity market report

Thailand power and renewable markets long-term outlook 2016

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Report summary

In 2015 Thailand introduced a set of long term energy plans collectively known as Thailand Integrated Energy Blueprint. This is the first coordinated energy plan across different government agencies PTT and EGAT. The focus is to develop a consistent set of strategies for Thailand's future energy needs. Target goals from the Energy Efficiency Plan and Alternative Energy Development Plan are integrated as inputs to the Power Development Plan (PDP) prepared by EGAT. Key messages: EGAT to undertake direct LNG procurement Extensions to expiring SPP gas cogeneration contracts Solar growth continues despite changes in tariff policy Thai companies seek overseas expansions

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Thailand Power Data.xls

    XLS 1.13 MB

  • Document

    Thailand power and renewable markets long-term outlook 2016

    PDF 2.08 MB

  • Document

    Thailand power and renewable markets long-term outlook 2016

    ZIP 2.36 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 1.12 MB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 56.36 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 280.84 KB

  • Document

    Environmental policy and renewables

    PDF 120.11 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 126.67 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 188.53 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 465.99 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 98.51 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 128.43 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 108.14 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 105.28 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Policy and regulation
  • Environmental policy and renewables
  • Supply
  • Costs
  • Infrastructure
  • Demand
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Prices
  • Risks and uncertainties

Tables and charts

This report includes 44 images and tables including:

Images

  • Executive summary: Image 1
  • GDP Forecast: Thailand
  • Capacity: renewables vs non-renewables
  • Generation: renewables vs non-renewables
  • Capacity: renewables by fuel
  • Generation: renewables by fuel
  • Breakeven cost (LRMC) based on technology (2020 prices)
  • Thailand power infrastructure
  • Central Thailand and Bangkok power infrastructure
  • Thailand grid generation by fuel used (TWh)
  • Thailand grid generation by fuel used (%)
  • Annual capacity factor by plant type (% utilisation)
  • Thailand average power tariff (Thai Baht and US$)
  • Average annual short-term generation costs by system and plant type
  • Average end-user power breakeven cost
  • GDP growth assumptions for high and low case
  • Power demand sensitivity on gas
  • Coal growth assumptions for high and low case
  • Coal demand sensitivity on gas in the power sector
  • Annual shape of power demand
  • Annual shape of hydro and gas demand
  • Thailand's energy policy and regulatory structure
  • Thailand power market value chain
  • COP21 INDC target
  • Emissions in the power sector
  • Contribution of gas and coal in the power sector
  • Existing and planned capacity with peak load
  • Thailand capacity by plant type and reserve margin
  • Reserve margin by region
  • Available capacity by region
  • Costs: Image 2
  • Thailand 2030 merit order
  • Power sales growth, GDP growth & electricity intensity
  • Power sales by region
  • Thailand import and intra-regional power transfers
  • Power transmission utilisation across regions
  • Thailand captive power sales by region
  • Thailand captive power by plant type (2014*)
  • Projected hydro shape
  • Projected gas shape

Tables

  • Key changes to analysis from 2015 publication:
  • Feed-in-tariffs
  • Major energy legislation
  • New plant economics by technology (LRMC)

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