Commodity Market Report

Thailand power and renewable markets long-term outlook 2016

Get this report

$4,600

You can pay by card or invoice

Contact us

Submit your details to receive further information about this report.

For details on how your data is used and stored, see our Privacy Notice.
 

- Available as part of a subscription
- FAQ's about online orders

10 July 2016

Thailand power and renewable markets long-term outlook 2016

Report summary

In 2015, Thailand introduced a set of long-term energy plans, collectively known as Thailand Integrated Energy Blueprint. This is the first coordinated energy plan across different government agencies, PTT and EGAT. The focus is to develop a consistent set of strategies for Thailand's future energy needs. Target goals from the Energy Efficiency Plan and Alternative Energy Development Plan are integrated as inputs to the Power Development Plan (PDP) prepared by EGAT. Key messages: EGAT to undertake direct LNG procurement Extensions to expiring SPP gas-cogeneration contracts Solar growth continues despite changes in tariff policy Thai companies seek overseas expansions

Table of contents

    • EGAT to undertake direct LNG procurement
    • Extensions to expiring SPP gas co-generation contracts
    • Solar growth continues despite change in tariff policy
    • Thai companies seek overseas expansions
    • No resolution in South Thailand power dilemma
  • Economic outlook
    • Energy policy
      • Key offices
      • Policy drivers
      • Competition
      • Fuel mix
      • Renewables
      • Pricing
    • Power market regulation
      • Generation
      • Transmission
      • Distribution and Retail
      • Other regulations
    • Renewables
      • COP21 INDC target
    • Capacity and reserve margin
      • Available capacity and reserve margin
      • Central Thailand
      • South Thailand
      • North Thailand
      • Northeast Thailand
      • Lao PDR
      • Other imports
    • Breakeven cost by technology
    • New-build economics
      • New-build economics by technology
      • Screening curves
      • Short run marginal cost analysis
    • Thailand power transmission infrastructure
    • Power infrastructure: current
    • Infrastructure: planned and possible
    • Power infrastructure maps
    • Power demand
      • Thailand GDP growth and power sales
    • Annual generation forecast
    • Plant utilisation (capacity factor)
    • Transmission utilisation across regions
      • Intra-regional flows
    • Captive power
      • Captive power demand by region
    • End-user tariffs
    • Average annual system short-run cost
    • Breakeven cost forecast
    • GDP sensitivity on gas demand
    • Coal sensitivity on gas demand
    • Power seasonality
      • Seasonality and gas demand swing

Tables and charts

This report includes 44 images and tables including:

  • Executive summary: Image 1
  • GDP Forecast: Thailand
  • Key changes to analysis from 2015 publication:
  • Feed-in-tariffs
  • Capacity: renewables vs non-renewables
  • Generation: renewables vs non-renewables
  • Capacity: renewables by fuel
  • Generation: renewables by fuel
  • Breakeven cost (LRMC) based on technology (2020 prices)
  • Thailand power infrastructure
  • Central Thailand and Bangkok power infrastructure
  • Thailand grid generation by fuel used (TWh)
  • Thailand grid generation by fuel used (%)
  • Annual capacity factor by plant type (% utilisation)
  • Thailand average power tariff (Thai Baht and US$)
  • Average annual short-term generation costs by system and plant type
  • Average end-user power breakeven cost
  • GDP growth assumptions for high and low case
  • Power demand sensitivity on gas
  • Coal growth assumptions for high and low case
  • Coal demand sensitivity on gas in the power sector
  • Annual shape of power demand
  • Annual shape of hydro and gas demand
  • Thailand's energy policy and regulatory structure
  • Major energy legislation
  • Thailand power market value chain
  • COP21 INDC target
  • Emissions in the power sector
  • Contribution of gas and coal in the power sector
  • Existing and planned capacity with peak load
  • Thailand capacity by plant type and reserve margin
  • Reserve margin by region
  • Available capacity by region
  • New plant economics by technology (LRMC)
  • Costs: Image 2
  • Thailand 2030 merit order
  • Power sales growth, GDP growth & electricity intensity
  • Power sales by region
  • Thailand import and intra-regional power transfers
  • Power transmission utilisation across regions
  • Thailand captive power sales by region
  • Thailand captive power by plant type (2014*)
  • Projected hydro shape
  • Projected gas shape

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Thailand Power Data.xls

    XLS 1.13 MB

  • Document

    Thailand power and renewable markets long-term outlook 2016

    PDF 2.08 MB

  • Document

    Thailand power and renewable markets long-term outlook 2016

    ZIP 2.36 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 1.12 MB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 56.36 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 280.84 KB

  • Document

    Environmental policy and renewables

    PDF 120.11 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 126.67 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 188.53 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 465.99 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 98.51 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 128.43 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 108.14 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 105.28 KB