Commodity Market Report

Thailand power and renewable markets long-term outlook 2017

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Report summary

Thailand has a partially liberalised power industry, with EGAT maintaining a core role in electricity generation, transmission, power purchases and system operation. The system's peak power demand reached 30.96 GW in May 2016, against a total on-grid generation capacity of 44.4 GW as of April 2017. Key topics covered in this report: Limited new opportunities for large-scale thermal projects through 2025 Renewable energy and more electricity imports seen key for Thailand to diversify fuel mix NEPC approves Krabi coal-fired plant but EGAT stays put for now New solar feed-in-tariffs for 2017 and 2018

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Thailand Power Data.xls

    XLS 1.06 MB

  • Document

    Thailand power and renewable markets outlook 2017

    PDF 1.88 MB

  • Document

    Thailand power and renewable markets outlook 2017

    ZIP 2.13 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 955.69 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 56.11 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 198.04 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 160.24 KB

  • Document

    Environmental policy and renewables

    PDF 126.62 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 125.10 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 102.99 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 124.32 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 465.04 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 185.52 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 105.10 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 97.08 KB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 42 images and tables including:

Tables

  • Key changes to analysis from 2016 publication:
  • Major energy legislation
  • Feed-in-tariffs (2017)
  • Power transmission capacity across regions
  • COP21 INDC target
  • New plant economics by technology (LRMC)

Images

  • GDP forecast: Thailand
  • Breakeven cost (LRMC) based on technology (2020 prices)
  • Prices: Image 1
  • Prices: Image 2
  • Prices: Image 3
  • Executive summary: Image 1
  • Thailand's energy policy and regulatory structure
  • Thailand's power market value chain
  • Capacity share: renewables vs non-renewables
  • Generation share: renewables vs non-renewables
  • Capacity: renewables by fuel
  • Generation: renewables by fuel
  • Thailand grid generation by fuel used (TWh)
  • Thailand grid generation by fuel used (%)
  • Annual capacity factor by plant type (% utilisation)
  • Thailand power infrastructure
  • Central Thailand and Bangkok power infrastructure
  • GDP growth assumptions for high and low case
  • Power demand sensitivity on gas
  • Annual shape of power demand
  • Annual shape of hydro and gas generation
  • Emissions in the power sector
  • Contribution of gas and coal in the power sector
  • Existing and planned capacity with peak load
  • Thailand capacity by plant type and reserve margin
  • Reserve margin by region*
  • Available capacity by region
  • Power demand by sector
  • Power sales growth, GDP growth & electricity intensity
  • Power sales by region
  • Thailand import and intra-regional power transfers
  • Power transmission utilisation across regions
  • Costs: Image 2
  • Thailand 2030 merit order
  • Projected hydro shape
  • Projected gas shape

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