Commodity market report

Thailand power and renewable markets long-term outlook 2017

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Report summary

Thailand has a partially liberalised power industry with EGAT maintaining a core role in electricity generation transmission power purchases and system operation. The system's peak power demand reached 30.96 GW in May 2016 against a total on grid generation capacity of 44.4 GW as of April 2017. Key topics covered in this report: Limited new opportunities for large scale thermal projects through 2025 Renewable energy and more electricity imports seen key for Thailand to diversify fuel mix NEPC approves Krabi coal fired plant but EGAT stays put for now New solar feed in tariffs for 2017 and 2018

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Thailand Power Data.xls

    XLS 1.06 MB

  • Document

    Thailand power and renewable markets outlook 2017

    PDF 1.88 MB

  • Document

    Thailand power and renewable markets outlook 2017

    ZIP 2.13 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 955.69 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 56.11 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 198.04 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 160.24 KB

  • Document

    Environmental policy and renewables

    PDF 126.62 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 125.10 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 102.99 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 124.32 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 465.04 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 185.52 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 105.10 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 97.08 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Policy and regulation
  • Market structure
  • Environmental policy and renewables
  • Supply
  • Demand
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Infrastructure
  • Costs
  • Prices
  • Risks and uncertainties

Tables and charts

This report includes 42 images and tables including:

Images

  • GDP forecast: Thailand
  • Breakeven cost (LRMC) based on technology (2020 prices)
  • Prices: Image 1
  • Prices: Image 2
  • Prices: Image 3
  • Executive summary: Image 1
  • Thailand's energy policy and regulatory structure
  • Thailand's power market value chain
  • Capacity share: renewables vs non-renewables
  • Generation share: renewables vs non-renewables
  • Capacity: renewables by fuel
  • Generation: renewables by fuel
  • Thailand grid generation by fuel used (TWh)
  • Thailand grid generation by fuel used (%)
  • Annual capacity factor by plant type (% utilisation)
  • Thailand power infrastructure
  • Central Thailand and Bangkok power infrastructure
  • GDP growth assumptions for high and low case
  • Power demand sensitivity on gas
  • Annual shape of power demand
  • Annual shape of hydro and gas generation
  • Emissions in the power sector
  • Contribution of gas and coal in the power sector
  • Existing and planned capacity with peak load
  • Thailand capacity by plant type and reserve margin
  • Reserve margin by region*
  • Available capacity by region
  • Power demand by sector
  • Power sales growth, GDP growth & electricity intensity
  • Power sales by region
  • Thailand import and intra-regional power transfers
  • Power transmission utilisation across regions
  • Costs: Image 2
  • Thailand 2030 merit order
  • Projected hydro shape
  • Projected gas shape

Tables

  • Key changes to analysis from 2016 publication:
  • Major energy legislation
  • Feed-in-tariffs (2017)
  • Power transmission capacity across regions
  • COP21 INDC target
  • New plant economics by technology (LRMC)

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